Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
NYSE · Equity · United States
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co
Basic MaterialsSpecialty Chemicals
Sherwin Williams Company is a Cleveland, Ohio based company in the paint and coating manufacturing industry. The company primarily engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of paints, coatings, floorcoverings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial, and retail customers primarily in North and South America and Europe.
Last updated
25 Sep 2026
Exchange
NYSE · NYSE
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Specialty Chemicals
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
79,161,005,460
Fair value reference
330.40
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 54.63%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, SHW fell 1.46%, moving from 333.99 to 329.10. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -9.89 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.23 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.63% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
329.10
12-Week Change
-1.46%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.63%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices · Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read · 2026-09-25
Support is starting to improve
PSI is improving, but the change is not yet established. The next completed weeks will show whether support strengthens or fades.
PSI score
56/1001 completed week
Recent support
+6Limited
Readings pointing the same way
50%Activity supports price
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together34/100
Moving together · little change
Ticker and market
The ticker reading is mixed
PSI has no clear direction. The wider market adds context, but does not change that mixed reading.
PSI
+11.0
Market togetherness
34/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Current contextTicker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Ticker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
The two readings are mixed
Neither reading gives a clear direction.
Current reading
-0.23
Four-week change
-1.01
Sharemaestro · SHW · Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
○ Broke a prior high / low◇ Closed back across the level▲ / ▼ Reversal confirmed– – Confirmation level— Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Value migration-6.4%
Recent centre versus prior year
Value breadth18.1%
Width of the accepted-value range
Supporting evidence
Acceptance migration and auction runway
Rolling market memory and the nearest established acceptance above and below the current price.
Is market memory moving?
Accepted-value migration
Each column is a rolling one-year auction. Brighter areas show stronger price acceptance.
Where is the next market memory?
Auction runway
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Above333.52Established market memory sits 1.3% above the latest close.
Below301.93Established market memory sits 8.2% below the latest close.
Decision map
What would confirm or challenge the current interpretation?
Sustained weekly closes above366.87
Higher-value acceptance
Holding above this boundary while the acceptance centre rises would strengthen the higher-value interpretation.
Primary market-memory magnet333.52
Rotation toward value
This is the centre of the three-year auction and the principal reference if price rotates back through value.
Sustained weekly closes below310.71
Lower-value acceptance
Holding below this boundary while the acceptance centre falls would strengthen the lower-value interpretation.
Decision context
Structural references and cross-signal agreement
The closest market-memory levels, the evidence that agrees or disagrees, and the limits of the current interpretation.
Market memory
Nearest structural nodes
These are historical acceptance references, not live resting orders.
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
333.52
1.3%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
351.08
6.7%
Acceptance shelfRepeated historical activity makes this a market-memory shelf.
301.93
-8.3%
Low-acceptance corridorHistorically limited acceptance makes this a potential fast-travel area.
256.30
-22.1%
Cross-signal agreement
Does the wider Sharemaestro picture agree?
Agreement strengthens context; disagreement identifies where the thesis is vulnerable.
Auction locationShows where the latest close sits relative to established accepted value.Within accepted value
Accepted-value migrationCompares the recent acceptance centre with the preceding one-year auction.Lower
30-week trendThe latest close is 0.4% above the trend line.Price above
Fair-value positionMarket price is 0.4% below the current fair-value reference.Below
Point & Figure structureConfirms whether reversal structure agrees with the current auction direction.Demand column rising
Earnings repricingShows whether accepted market value is developing with or against the earnings relationship.Expectations ahead
Accepted value migrating lower
Price remains within the broader value area while the recent acceptance centre moves lower.
More room below
The next established shelf is materially farther below than above.
Established market memory
The three-year acceptance centre at 333.52 remains the dominant rotational reference.
Security-specific analogues
How comparable auction states resolved
Fewer than four non-overlapping comparable episodes exist in the visible history.
2 comparable non-overlapping episodes are visible; at least four are required before outcomes are summarised.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
Current weekly interpretationRange-bound structure with constructive close
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context · Developing
Current structureRange-bound structure
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 327.86 · Resistance 362.67
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
Participation qualityNormal participation
Participation was broadly consistent with the market's completed recent history.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+2.61%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 92% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityDeveloping
The path is readable, but the completed evidence is not yet consistently aligned.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
Recent completed price swings are mixed, with neither side establishing a clean sequence.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is normal participation, and path quality is developing.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history76% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-16.0%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+152.9%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.1× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
Latest week
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
7 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
13 weeks ago
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
19 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
29 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateInside accepted value
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
45.6%
Low to high
Accepted price
332.30
Latest versus accepted: -0.96%
Fitted direction
Sideways
-0.04% per week
Range pressure
46/100
Balanced pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.85× normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Support
317.95
-3.4%
67/100
3
Support
326.07
-0.9%
87/100
5
Resistance
334.48
1.6%
95/100
5
Resistance
354.85
7.8%
84/100
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionInside accepted value
Price is at 45.6% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionSideways
The fitted centre line is moving -0.04% per week.
Range pressureBalanced pressure
The current pressure reading is 46/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level326.07
Support is 0.9% from the latest close with 87/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.57 · Holding steady
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 1 completed week; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathConstructive · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
103 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
105 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship · 12 completed weeks
Price weakness is confirmed by Market Dynamics
Price changed -4.6% and Market Dynamics changed -1.01 over the latest 4 completed weeks. Both readings currently point to weaker completed-week conditions.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-10Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
35% across the current zone span
The model estimates a 7% chance of confirming accumulation within 52 completed weeks and a 32% chance of returning to the source zone first.
Current journey
Distribution to accumulation · Progressing
Activated
2024-12-13
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. SHW is 35% across its current move from distribution back toward accumulation. The journey remains open because neither the target nor a return to the source has been confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Current zone-span position 35%
Distribution to Accumulation · 93 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 4%
Confirm the current accumulation zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 7%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 32%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 · Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 · What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks4%
52 weeks7%
Accumulation zone
252.13 / deep 232.45
Current close
329.10
Distribution zone
370.19 / deep 389.86
Source-zone dwell
5 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -0.23Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -0.94Change in underlying supportTrend position 0%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 0.93×Recent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyAccumulation to Distribution · Confirmed distribution
2023-11-17–2024-09-27 · 46 completed weeks · price move +42.5%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 1 reached distribution and 0 reached accumulation.
0% · confirmed source exit100% · confirmed opposite zone
Accumulation to DistributionConfirmed distribution
2023-11-17–2024-09-27 · journey 46w · source dwell 6w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
+42.5%
Time to confirm
46w
Reached and confirmed distribution after 46 completed weeks. Price moved +42.5% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Current stateExpectations ahead
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 11 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
11 quarters
Confirmation
Broad support
Repricing pressure
Low — price-led
Market move32.3%
Three-year change
Earnings move18.1%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-14.2 pts
closing
Current valuation27.7×
Price relative to earnings power
Business quality supportive
Cash generation and operating evidence are broadly supportive.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
6 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenueCash generation
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Supportive
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Supportive
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Earnings ahead
Expectations ahead
Related repricing signals
RPMAligned-led8.9 pts
LINAligned-led7.8 pts
BCPCAligned-led2.6 pts
WDFCAligned-led1.6 pts
ECLAligned-led-4.9 pts
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readMarket pressure is weakening from a balanced position
Price pressure is close to its central market position. Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
-0.39% · Balanced · Weakening
Market positionBalanced
Price pressure is close to its central market position.
Pressure directionWeakening
Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityPersistent
Directional progress remains visible despite some interruption.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is weakening with persistent trend quality. Comparable history is soft follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 21% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 79% of completed observations.
State persistence1 completed week
The current balanced state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historySoft follow-through
Across 15 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 27% of the time; the typical move was -3.4%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
2 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
8 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
9 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
11 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
13 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
19 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Pressure through time · green above 60: buyer control · blue between 40 and 60: contested · rose below 40: seller control.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is above the core VWAP, which is broadly flat. 79% of recent weighted activity has been accepted above it.
Pressure 47/100 and -26.9 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack1 of 7 below price
7 references converge near 335.82: 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP, 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, 13-week VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, Swing high.
Acceptance79% above
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction+0.1% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +0.6 pts.
Stretch0.0 normal ranges above
Price is +0.3% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
01 · Control trajectoryControl transfer beginning
Price has completed its first move back above the core VWAP; acceptance and the next retest now matter.
02 · Price and pressurePrice and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
03 · Reference concentrationVWAP cluster present
7 references converge near 335.82: 26-week VWAP, Year VWAP, 52-week VWAP, High-activity anchor, 13-week VWAP, Latest earnings VWAP, Swing high.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation332.64
A completed close above Year VWAP with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area328.17
26-week VWAP at 328.17, 0.3% below the latest close.
Weakening level328.17
A completed close below 26-week VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
26-week VWAP
328.17
-0.28%
Year VWAP
332.64
+1.08%
52-week VWAP
332.94
+1.17%
High-activity anchor
337.87
+2.67%
13-week VWAP
338.32
+2.80%
Latest earnings VWAP
340.24
+3.38%
Swing high
340.58
+3.49%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 39%Above price 61%
57%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -37.4 points.
Buyers firmly in control · 85/100
Sector · Basic MaterialsStronger control than reference
Stronger control than reference; control-score gap +23.8 points.
Sellers firmly in control · 23/100
Industry · Specialty ChemicalsBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap +5.7 points.
Control is contested · 42/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim25% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
-1.50%
Median 13w
-3.64%
Typical best
+5.00%
Typical worst
-7.50%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss63% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
+0.31%
Median 13w
-3.29%
Typical best
+5.12%
Typical worst
-4.72%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states3 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.46 · Mixed
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support is mixed and losing ground
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.46 · Mixed
Current stateMixed · 0.46
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceDeveloping
6 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a positive historical bias
Across 20 comparable completed observations, 75.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +7.5%.
Comparable observations
20Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
75.0%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+7.5%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+14.4 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
25 Sep 2026
Latest Close
329.10
12-Week Change
-1.46%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 54.63%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-9.89
Market Dynamics
-0.23
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-09-25, SHW fell 1.46%, moving from 333.99 to 329.10. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -9.89 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -0.23 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 54.63% based on similar historical setup states.
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