Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1117 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CBT NYSE · Cabot Corporation
9 Jan 202672.01
87.32
21.26%
Buy
0.01
-
-
CBZ NYSE · CBIZ Inc
29 May 202633.20
37.79
13.83%
Buy
0.50
-
-
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Jun 202511.47
17.81
55.32%
Buy
0.27
-
-
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
8 May 202613.18
13.22
0.30%
Buy
1.13
-
-
CCXI NASDAQ · Churchill Capital Corp XI
26 Jun 202613.86
15.55
12.19%
Buy
0.47
-
-
CDW NASDAQ · CDW Corp
22 May 2026110.82
144.39
30.29%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
13 Mar 20261.61
2.43
50.93%
Buy
0.08
-
-
CELH NASDAQ · Celsius Holdings Inc
21 Mar 202532.93
30.60
-7.08%
Buy
1.29
-
-
CERT NASDAQ · Certara Inc
19 Jun 20265.54
6.77
22.20%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
1 May 202611.58
10.53
-9.03%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
31 Oct 20258.66
18.13
109.35%
Buy
1.01
-
-
CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
13 Mar 202611.16
11.00
-1.43%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
7 Nov 202510.39
10.81
4.04%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
14 Nov 202513.98
18.01
28.81%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated
1 May 202698.65
85.52
-13.31%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share
5 Jun 202610.15
10.17
0.20%
Buy
1.09
-
-
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
2 Jan 202695.83
109.72
14.49%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
26 Jun 2026130.05
131.70
1.27%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp
20 Jun 202599.38
117.39
18.12%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
5 Sep 20254.04
20.90
417.33%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
18 Jul 20250.88
1.54
74.84%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
7 Nov 2025260.20
293.46
12.78%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
3 Jul 202698.51
97.64
-0.88%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
19 Jun 20263.13
3.36
7.35%
Buy
0.66
-
-
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
5 Sep 202512.60
11.10
-11.88%
Buy
0.52
-
-
CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc
16 May 202520.45
39.11
91.25%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
4 Jul 20258.82
9.40
6.58%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
13 Jun 20254.10
6.27
52.93%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc
1 May 20263.24
2.87
-11.40%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
3 Jul 20266.48
8.39
29.48%
Buy
0.65
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 871-900 of 10719
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
8.15
Reversal Risk Warning
157.10%
Entry 3 May 2024 3.17
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TRST NASDAQ · TrustCo Bank Corp NY
52.53
Reversal Risk Warning
95.05%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 26.93
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TTEC NASDAQ · TTEC Holdings Inc
2.18
20% entry drawdown
-27.09%
Entry 1 May 2026 2.99
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TTGT NASDAQ · TechTarget, Inc. Common Stock
3.87
20% entry drawdown
-31.50%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 5.65
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TWLO NYSE · Twilio Inc
225.99
Reversal Risk Warning
166.37%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 84.84
5 Jun 2026
Exit
UE NYSE · Urban Edge Properties
22.68
Reversal Risk Warning
56.38%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 14.50
5 Jun 2026
Exit
UNFI NYSE · United Natural Foods Inc
55.52
Reversal Risk Warning
277.43%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 14.71
5 Jun 2026
Exit
URI NYSE · United Rentals Inc
1067.77
Reversal Risk Warning
117.61%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 490.68
5 Jun 2026
Exit
UTI NYSE · Universal Technical Institute Inc
43.57
Reversal Risk Warning
280.52%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 11.45
5 Jun 2026
Exit
VATE NYSE · Innovate Corp
18.98
Reversal Risk Warning
121.73%
Entry 10 Apr 2026 8.56
5 Jun 2026
Exit
VBNK NASDAQ · VersaBank
19.21
Reversal Risk Warning
122.89%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 8.62
5 Jun 2026
Entry
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
3.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.96
5 Jun 2026
Exit
WABC NASDAQ · Westamerica Bancorporation
56.58
Reversal Risk Warning
48.84%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 38.01
5 Jun 2026
Exit
WERN NASDAQ · Werner Enterprises Inc
43.32
Reversal Risk Warning
59.90%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 27.09
5 Jun 2026
Exit
WFCF NASDAQ · Where Food Comes From Inc
10.15
20% entry drawdown
-21.26%
Entry 22 May 2026 12.89
5 Jun 2026
Exit
ZBAO NASDAQ · Zhibao Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
0.67
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 29 May 2026 0.90
29 May 2026
Exit
AA NYSE · Alcoa Corp
77.64
Reversal Risk Warning
151.55%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 30.86
29 May 2026
Entry
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.14
29 May 2026
Exit
ACTU NASDAQ · Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. Common stock
2.02
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 15 May 2026 2.62
29 May 2026
Exit
ADGM NASDAQ · Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc Common Stock
0.72
20% entry drawdown
-26.50%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 0.99
29 May 2026
Entry
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
5.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.68
29 May 2026
Entry
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
3.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.92
29 May 2026
Exit
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
516.10
Reversal Risk Warning
210.03%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 166.47
29 May 2026
Exit
ARMK NYSE · Aramark Holdings
53.38
Reversal Risk Warning
84.99%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 28.86
29 May 2026
Exit
ARWR NASDAQ · Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc
77.91
Reversal Risk Warning
279.86%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 20.51
29 May 2026
Entry
ASAN NYSE · Asana Inc
7.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
29 May 2026
Exit
ASX NYSE · ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR
38.35
Reversal Risk Warning
201.49%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 12.72
29 May 2026
Entry
AUC NASDAQ · ATIF Holdings Limited
7.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
29 May 2026
Exit
AVT NASDAQ · Avnet Inc
86.60
Reversal Risk Warning
82.90%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 47.35
29 May 2026
Entry
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.52
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05