View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CGBD NASDAQ · Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
1 May 202611.58
9.99
-13.70%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
31 Oct 20258.66
16.50
90.53%
Buy
1.01
-
-
CHA NASDAQ · Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
13 Mar 202611.16
11.25
0.81%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
7 Nov 202510.39
10.90
4.91%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
14 Nov 202513.98
18.31
30.96%
Buy
0.26
-
-
CHDN NASDAQ · Churchill Downs Incorporated
1 May 202698.65
84.30
-14.55%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CHEC NASDAQ · Chenghe Acquisition III Co. Class A Ordinary Share
5 Jun 202610.15
10.20
0.49%
Buy
1.09
-
-
CHH NYSE · Choice Hotels International Inc
2 Jan 202695.83
111.49
16.34%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CHKP NASDAQ · Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
26 Jun 2026130.05
127.13
-2.25%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CHRD NASDAQ · Chord Energy Corp
20 Jun 202599.38
140.38
41.25%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
5 Sep 20254.04
22.03
445.30%
Buy
0.75
-
-
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
18 Jul 20250.88
1.41
60.08%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
7 Nov 2025260.20
279.05
7.24%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CIGI NASDAQ · Colliers International Group Inc Bats
3 Jul 202698.51
98.55
0.04%
Buy
0.06
-
-
CLAR NASDAQ · Clarus Corp
19 Jun 20263.13
3.21
2.56%
Buy
0.66
-
-
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
5 Sep 202512.60
10.64
-15.53%
Buy
0.52
-
-
CLDX NASDAQ · Celldex Therapeutics Inc
16 May 202520.45
38.06
86.11%
Buy
0.37
-
-
CLF NYSE · Cleveland-Cliffs Inc
4 Jul 20258.82
11.52
30.61%
Buy
0.38
-
-
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
13 Jun 20254.10
5.02
22.32%
Buy
0.17
-
-
CLPR NYSE · Clipper Realty Inc
1 May 20263.24
2.80
-13.56%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CLW NYSE · Clearwater Paper Corporation
29 May 202616.30
21.03
29.02%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
31 Jul 202619.17
19.17
New Entry week
Buy
0.48
-
-
CMCSA NASDAQ · Comcast Corp
2 Jan 202625.57
23.96
-6.31%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CMG NYSE · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
26 Jun 202633.34
37.22
11.64%
Buy
0.32
-
-
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
20 Sep 202411.34
29.34
158.73%
Buy
0.54
-
-
CNC NYSE · Centene Corp
3 Oct 202538.70
62.22
60.78%
Buy
0.11
-
-
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
31 Jul 20261.60
1.60
New Entry week
Buy
1.12
-
-
CNH NYSE · CNH Industrial N.V.
16 Jan 202610.81
10.25
-5.21%
Buy
0.04
-
-
CNMD NYSE · CONMED Corporation
17 Jul 202643.20
46.30
7.18%
Buy
1.25
-
-
CNNE NYSE · Cannae Holdings Inc
1 May 202613.53
14.55
7.57%
Buy
0.15
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 10141-10170 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CSTL NASDAQ · Castle Biosciences Inc
14.45
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 18.34
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CX NYSE · Cemex SAB de CV ADR
5.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.13
6 Oct 2023
Entry
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.53
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.52
6 Oct 2023
Entry
EVER NASDAQ · EverQuote Inc Class A
8.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
6 Oct 2023
Exit
FHN NYSE · First Horizon Corporation
9.46
20% entry drawdown
-23.79%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 12.41
6 Oct 2023
Exit
MCB NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding
32.41
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 40.51
6 Oct 2023
Entry
MUSA NYSE · Murphy USA Inc
351.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.49
6 Oct 2023
Exit
NMRK NASDAQ · Newmark Group Inc
5.73
20% entry drawdown
-23.77%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 7.51
6 Oct 2023
Entry
ODYS NASDAQ · Odysight.ai Inc. Common Stock
2.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
6 Oct 2023
Entry
PRPO NASDAQ · Precipio Inc
6.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
6 Oct 2023
Entry
RELX NYSE · Relx PLC ADR
33.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
6 Oct 2023
Entry
RSVR NASDAQ · Reservoir Media Inc
6.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
6 Oct 2023
Exit
THC NYSE · Tenet Healthcare Corporation
61.66
20% entry drawdown
-24.71%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 81.90
6 Oct 2023
Entry
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
2.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
8.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
29 Sep 2023
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-25.87%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 3.17
29 Sep 2023
Entry
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.56
29 Sep 2023
Exit
CAPR NASDAQ · Capricor Therapeutics Inc
3.42
20% entry drawdown
-43.38%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 6.04
29 Sep 2023
Entry
DHT NYSE · DHT Holdings Inc
8.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.83
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
6.07
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.87
29 Sep 2023
Entry
FRO NYSE · Frontline Ltd
14.99
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.98
29 Sep 2023
Exit
GGAL NASDAQ · Grupo Financiero Galicia SA ADR
11.50
20% entry drawdown
-24.93%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 15.32
29 Sep 2023
Entry
GLP NYSE · Global Partners LP
29.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.85
29 Sep 2023
Entry
HCC NYSE · Warrior Met Coal Inc
49.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.74
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ICU NASDAQ · SeaStar Medical Holding Corporation
66.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.51
29 Sep 2023
Exit
KARO NASDAQ · Karooooo Ltd
18.83
20% entry drawdown
-21.74%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 24.06
29 Sep 2023
Entry
MDWD NASDAQ · Mediwound Ltd
10.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
29 Sep 2023
Entry
NYC NYSE · New York City REIT Inc
9.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
29 Sep 2023
Entry
REX NYSE · REX American Resources Corporation
20.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.38
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SBR NYSE · Sabine Royalty Trust
52.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09