View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CNR NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
83.20
10.59%
Buy
0.56
-
-
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
3 Apr 20268.59
10.03
16.76%
Buy
1.01
-
-
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
19 Dec 202511.76
14.32
21.77%
Buy
0.05
-
-
COLM NASDAQ · Columbia Sportswear Company
12 Sep 202553.74
62.32
15.97%
Buy
0.10
-
-
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
26 Jun 202671.02
70.31
-1.00%
Buy
0.33
-
-
CPB NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
19 Jun 202620.80
21.84
4.99%
Buy
0.48
-
-
CPHC NASDAQ · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
23 Jan 202615.83
15.55
-1.80%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CPRI NYSE · Capri Holdings Ltd
27 Jun 202517.58
15.44
-12.17%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CPSS NASDAQ · Consumer Portfolio Services Inc
19 Apr 20249.00
9.45
5.00%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.12
10.15
0.25%
Buy
1.99
-
-
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
11 Jul 20251.63
1.57
-3.68%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
3 May 20244.22
4.46
5.78%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
16 May 20251.11
1.18
6.31%
Buy
0.09
-
-
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.64
2.54
-3.79%
Buy
1.12
-
-
CREX NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
16 May 20252.11
3.20
51.66%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRGY NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
27 Jun 20258.56
11.27
31.73%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CRI NYSE · Carter’s Inc
19 Sep 202530.59
38.75
26.68%
Buy
1.02
-
-
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
13 Jun 2025149.45
226.58
51.61%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
22 Nov 20247.20
8.45
17.29%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
26 Sep 20252.37
2.13
-10.13%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CROX NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
5 Dec 202589.70
134.72
50.19%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
20 Jun 202544.25
46.54
5.18%
Buy
0.58
-
-
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
17 Apr 20266.48
9.85
52.01%
Buy
0.46
-
-
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
14 Nov 20258.57
10.15
18.49%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CRTO NASDAQ · Criteo Sa
6 Mar 202619.74
20.44
3.55%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CRVL NASDAQ · CorVel Corp
24 Apr 202657.33
59.86
4.41%
Buy
0.03
-
-
CRWS NASDAQ · Crown Crafts Inc
20 Jun 20252.72
2.99
9.81%
Buy
0.12
-
-
CSIQ NASDAQ · Canadian Solar Inc
6 Jun 202511.24
13.35
18.77%
Buy
0.83
-
-
CSTE NASDAQ · Caesarstone Ltd
29 May 20261.86
2.09
12.37%
Buy
0.23
-
-
CTEV NYSE · Claritev Corporation
22 May 202621.67
21.61
-0.28%
Buy
0.62
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 6181-6210 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Feb 2025
Exit
RDCM NASDAQ · Radcom Ltd
15.40
Reversal Risk Warning
61.85%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 9.52
7 Feb 2025
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.25
20% entry drawdown
-21.88%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 1.60
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SBUX NASDAQ · Starbucks Corporation
107.92
Reversal Risk Warning
51.25%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 71.35
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SFM NASDAQ · Sprouts Farmers Market LLC
167.97
Reversal Risk Warning
164.98%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 63.39
7 Feb 2025
Entry
SIFY NASDAQ · Sify Technologies Limited
3.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
7 Feb 2025
Entry
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
1.37
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
7 Feb 2025
Entry
SMCI NASDAQ · Super Micro Computer Inc
36.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SPH NYSE · Suburban Propane Partners LP
19.40
Reversal Risk Warning
45.62%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 13.32
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SSNC NASDAQ · SS&C Technologies Holdings Inc
85.02
Reversal Risk Warning
52.51%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 55.75
7 Feb 2025
Entry
SSRM NASDAQ · SSR Mining Inc
9.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76
7 Feb 2025
Entry
TEM NASDAQ · Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock
68.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
7 Feb 2025
Entry
TENX NASDAQ · Tenax Therapeutics Inc
7.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.48
7 Feb 2025
Entry
TIMB NYSE · TIM Participacoes SA
11.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
7 Feb 2025
Entry
TRC NYSE · Tejon Ranch Co
16.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
7 Feb 2025
Exit
TYRA NASDAQ · Tyra Biosciences Inc
12.67
20% entry drawdown
-24.67%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 16.82
7 Feb 2025
Exit
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
23.84
Reversal Risk Warning
199.87%
Entry 10 Nov 2023 7.95
31 Jan 2025
Exit
AAOI NASDAQ · Applied Opt
27.92
20% entry drawdown
-26.51%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 37.99
31 Jan 2025
Exit
ALK NYSE · Alaska Air Group Inc
73.25
Reversal Risk Warning
88.06%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 38.95
31 Jan 2025
Entry
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
8.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.45
31 Jan 2025
Entry
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
2.66
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.73
31 Jan 2025
Exit
BAM NYSE · Brookfield Asset Management Ltd.
56.80
Reversal Risk Warning
91.01%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 29.74
31 Jan 2025
Exit
BCSF NYSE · Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc
14.91
Reversal Risk Warning
38.66%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 10.75
31 Jan 2025
Entry
BTSG NASDAQ · BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock
23.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
31 Jan 2025
Exit
BWEN NASDAQ · Broadwind Energy Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown
-23.53%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 2.21
31 Jan 2025
Exit
CDIO NASDAQ · Cardio Diagnostics Holdings Inc
13.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.15%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 16.50
31 Jan 2025
Exit
CDLX NASDAQ · Cardlytics Inc
30.60
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 38.80
31 Jan 2025
Exit
CLBT NASDAQ · Cellebrite DI
24.04
Reversal Risk Warning
185.51%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 8.42
31 Jan 2025
Entry
CVI NYSE · CVR Energy Inc
16.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
31 Jan 2025
Exit
CXAI NASDAQ · CXApp Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown
-27.05%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 2.07
31 Jan 2025
Exit
DELL NYSE · Dell Technologies Inc
101.38
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 127.58