Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 31 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
470.81
Total Return
370.81%
CAGR
54.44% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+32.75%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.59 Sortino 5.03
Current Holdings
1067
Transactions
10881 Avg 3052.4/yr · 254.4/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4907 Stop 42.0% · Warning 57.4% · Other 0.6%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

31 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
25
BR NYSE · Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc
153.95 MD 0.49 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.19 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
19.17 MD 0.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CNET NASDAQ · ZW Data Action Technologies Inc
1.60 MD 1.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
184.02 MD 0.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DPZ NASDAQ · Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock
347.44 MD 0.32 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DXC NYSE · DXC Technology Co
11.24 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
28.44 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
68.02 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.18 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HLNE NASDAQ · Hamilton Lane Inc
88.91 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
237.36 MD 1.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HURN NASDAQ · Huron Consulting Group Inc
151.77 MD 0.52 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INFY NYSE · Infosys Ltd ADR
12.03 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
INTA NASDAQ · Intapp Inc
32.69 MD 1.29 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVWR NYSE · LiveWire Group Inc.
1.81 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NICE NASDAQ · Nice Ltd ADR
98.79 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.48 MD 0.20 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PTC NASDAQ · PTC Inc
137.20 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.60 MD 0.30 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SPOK NASDAQ · Spok Holdings Inc
10.90 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TAP NYSE · Molson Coors Brewing Co Class B
41.56 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TME NYSE · Tencent Music Entertainment Group
9.45 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TRI NASDAQ · Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
98.13 MD 1.47 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WK NYSE · Workiva Inc
59.80 MD 0.70 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.04 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
5.20 20% entry drawdown · -23.64%
AVD NYSE · American Vanguard Corporation
2.39 20% entry drawdown · -24.37%
BLDR NYSE · Builders FirstSource Inc
66.44 20% entry drawdown · -25.47%
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
1.35 20% entry drawdown · -47.06%
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
4.08 20% entry drawdown · -37.04%
CUPR NASDAQ · Cuprina Holdings (Cayman) Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.92 20% entry drawdown · -26.45%
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
32.56 Reversal Risk Warning · 12.66%
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
12.79 20% entry drawdown · -25.64%
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
3.09 20% entry drawdown · -35.63%
JMSB NASDAQ · John Marshall Bancorp Inc
23.20 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.35%
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
5.48 Reversal Risk Warning · 113.87%
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1.92 20% entry drawdown · -67.57%
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
10.37 20% entry drawdown · -20.17%
LKQ NASDAQ · LKQ Corporation
22.45 20% entry drawdown · -23.71%
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
11.27 20% entry drawdown · -21.33%
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
2.86 20% entry drawdown · -51.36%
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
0.98 20% entry drawdown · -26.54%
NXL NASDAQ · Nexalin Technology Inc.
0.34 20% entry drawdown · -29.80%
OI NYSE · O-I Glass Inc
7.15 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
PDCC NYSE · Pearl Diver Credit Company Inc.
8.60 20% entry drawdown · -22.67%
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
44.21 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
RADX NASDAQ · Radiopharm Theranostics Limited American Depositary Shares
3.15 20% entry drawdown · -28.89%
SILO NASDAQ · Silo Pharma Inc
4.19 20% entry drawdown · -23.78%
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.69 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TULP NASDAQ · Bloomia Holdings, Inc.
3.27 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.23 20% entry drawdown · -25.46%
WHD NYSE · Cactus Inc
65.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.94%
XHLD NASDAQ · TEN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
1.00 20% entry drawdown · -52.04%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 1067 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
CNR NYSE · Core Natural Resources, Inc.
11 Jul 202575.23
79.84
6.12%
Buy
0.56
-
-
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
3 Apr 20268.59
10.08
17.35%
Buy
1.01
-
-
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
19 Dec 202511.76
14.09
19.82%
Buy
0.05
-
-
COLM NASDAQ · Columbia Sportswear Company
12 Sep 202553.74
59.38
10.50%
Buy
0.10
-
-
COO NASDAQ · The Cooper Companies, Inc
26 Jun 202671.02
72.32
1.83%
Buy
0.33
-
-
CPB NASDAQ · Campbell’s Co
19 Jun 202620.80
21.98
5.66%
Buy
0.48
-
-
CPHC NASDAQ · Canterbury Park Holding Corporation
23 Jan 202615.83
15.30
-3.38%
Buy
0.44
-
-
CPRI NYSE · Capri Holdings Ltd
27 Jun 202517.58
15.93
-9.39%
Buy
0.35
-
-
CPSS NASDAQ · Consumer Portfolio Services Inc
19 Apr 20249.00
9.32
3.56%
Buy
0.05
-
-
CRAC NASDAQ · Crown Reserve Acquisition Corp. I Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.12
10.15
0.30%
Buy
1.97
-
-
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
11 Jul 20251.63
1.46
-10.43%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRCT NASDAQ · Cricut Inc
3 May 20244.22
4.69
11.24%
Buy
0.78
-
-
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
16 May 20251.11
1.27
14.41%
Buy
0.09
-
-
CRE NASDAQ · Cre8 Enterprise Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
29 May 20262.64
2.42
-8.33%
Buy
1.12
-
-
CREX NASDAQ · Creative Realities Inc
16 May 20252.11
3.14
48.82%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRGY NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
27 Jun 20258.56
11.47
34.07%
Buy
0.13
-
-
CRI NYSE · Carter’s Inc
19 Sep 202530.59
38.57
26.09%
Buy
1.02
-
-
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
13 Jun 2025149.45
232.51
55.58%
Buy
0.10
-
-
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
31 Jul 2026184.02
184.02
New Entry week
Buy
0.35
-
-
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
22 Nov 20247.20
8.52
18.33%
Buy
1.37
-
-
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
26 Sep 20252.37
2.17
-8.44%
Buy
0.18
-
-
CROX NASDAQ · Crocs Inc
5 Dec 202589.70
128.01
42.71%
Buy
0.31
-
-
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
20 Jun 202544.25
47.99
8.45%
Buy
0.58
-
-
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
17 Apr 20266.48
10.61
63.73%
Buy
0.46
-
-
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
14 Nov 20258.57
10.22
19.30%
Buy
0.02
-
-
CRTO NASDAQ · Criteo Sa
6 Mar 202619.74
21.82
10.54%
Buy
0.15
-
-
CRVL NASDAQ · CorVel Corp
24 Apr 202657.33
60.06
4.76%
Buy
0.03
-
-
CRWS NASDAQ · Crown Crafts Inc
20 Jun 20252.72
2.95
8.34%
Buy
0.12
-
-
CSIQ NASDAQ · Canadian Solar Inc
6 Jun 202511.24
15.08
34.16%
Buy
0.83
-
-
CSTE NASDAQ · Caesarstone Ltd
29 May 20261.86
2.09
12.37%
Buy
0.23
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 9301-9330 of 10881
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MIDD NASDAQ · Middleby Corp
92.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MIRM NASDAQ · Mirum Pharmaceuticals Inc
34.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.89
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MITT NYSE · AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
4.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MLI NYSE · Mueller Industries Inc
21.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.00
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MMYT NASDAQ · MakeMyTrip Limited
46.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MS NYSE · Morgan Stanley
85.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
15 Dec 2023
Exit
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
7.02
20% entry drawdown
-23.74%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 9.20
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MXL NASDAQ · MaxLinear Inc
21.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MYFW NASDAQ · First Western Financial Inc
20.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NATH NASDAQ · Nathans Famous Inc
66.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NCLH NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
20.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NEE NYSE · Nextera Energy Inc
57.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NGL NYSE · NGL Energy Partners LP
4.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
3.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.25
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NLY NYSE · Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
14.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.11
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NPO NYSE · Enpro Industries
148.11
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.62
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
13.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NVR NYSE · NVR Inc
6880.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NVTS NASDAQ · Navitas Semiconductor Corp
8.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.26
15 Dec 2023
Entry
NXT NASDAQ · Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock
47.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
15 Dec 2023
Entry
OC NYSE · Owens Corning Inc
145.26
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
15 Dec 2023
Entry
OCFC NASDAQ · OceanFirst Financial Corp.
15.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
15 Dec 2023
Entry
OCUL NASDAQ · Ocular Therapeutix Inc
3.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
15 Dec 2023
Entry
OMER NASDAQ · Omeros Corporation
2.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ONIT NYSE · Onity Group Inc.
28.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ORA NYSE · Ormat Technologies Inc
74.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ORC NYSE · Orchid Island Capital Inc.
5.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
15 Dec 2023
Entry
OTLK NASDAQ · OUTLOOK THERAPEUTICS INC
7.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
15 Dec 2023
Entry
PAC NYSE · Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB De CV ADR
164.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
15 Dec 2023
Entry
PBFS NASDAQ · Pioneer Bancorp Inc
9.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.30