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ULTA

Ulta Beauty Inc
Chart
469.20 USD
Latest Week 2026-07-10
Consumer CyclicalSpecialty RetailLARGE
Snapshot 2026-07-12 · 0.9w · Fresh
0.48
OS Score
34.0%
Value
88.0%
Quality
33.0%
Momentum
6/9
F-Score
0.547
QV
StrategiesValueQualityMomentumCompositeInteractionsFactor AnalysisTrendsFundamentals
Strategy Eligibility
6 of 23 passing
★
OS Composite
✗
↗
Trending Value
✗
◆
Quality × Value
✗
🏛
Cornerstone Value
✗
🌿
Cornerstone Growth
✗
💎
Deep Value
✗
◇
VC2 Cheapest
✗
📐
EBITDA/EV
8.5%
◐
Veiled Value
Yes
▣
Piotroski Bargains
✗
🔬
Quality Compounders
✗
📈
Consistent Earners
Yes
🌱
GARP
Rev +11%
🔄
Shareholder Yield
5.2%
💰
High Yield
✗
🚀
Momentum Leaders
✗
◉
Market Leaders
✗
◎
Tiny Titans
✗
🔍
Small Cap Value
✗
🛡
Low Volatility
✗
🏷
Sector Cheapest
✗
🧠
Capital Allocators
CAQ 0.70
⚡
Risk-Adj Momentum
✗
V
Value Analysis
Cheapness relative to fundamentals
34.0%ile
P/E
17.0×
P/S
1.6×
P/B
7.8×
E/P
0.0709
FCF Yield
0.092
EBITDA/EV
0.085
SH Yield
0.052
Relative Strength Across Value Dimensions
Multiples & Yields — Decomposition
VC1 (5-Factor)
69.00000000
/100 — 1=cheapest
VC2 (Trending Value)
37.00000000
/100
VC3 (Buyback)
66.00000000
/100
FCF yield of 9.2% is strong — the business generates significant free cash relative to price.
Q
Quality Analysis
Profitability, efficiency, balance sheet & earnings quality
88.0%ile
ROE
0.461
ROA
0.172
Net Margin
0.094
Op Margin
0.125
GPA
0.725
D/E
1.67
Current
1.31
F-Score
6/9
Quality Radar — Relative Strength
Profitability & Leverage Breakdown
Rev Growth
0.113
Earn Growth
-0.003
Stability
0.202
lower=better
Accruals
-0.052
lower=better
5yr Consist
Yes
ROE of 46% is exceptional.
M
Momentum & Risk
Price trend, volatility regime, risk-adjusted returns
33.0%ile
6M Return
-29.6%
12M Return
-1.6%
12-1 Mom
-1.9%
Risk-Adj
-0.06
Vol 252d
34.4%
Vol 60d
81.5%
↑ Expanding
Max DD 12M
-33.9%
Return Comparison — 6M / 12M / 12-1
Volatility Regime — 60d vs 252d
Near-term vol (82%) is expanding vs long-term (34%) — risk is increasing.
OS
Composite & Factor Heatmap
All factors at a glance
0.48
Pillar Balance — Value / Quality / Momentum
Factor Heatmap — green=strong, red=weak
▦
Sector Context
Consumer Cyclical · 500 peers
Sector Value %ile
31.7%
Sector Quality %ile
91.2%
P/E z-score
-0.18
P/B z-score
-0.01
Sector Avg OS
49.9%
Ticker vs Sector Averages
Relative Valuation Z-Score
Top Sector Peers (By OS)
SymbolNameOSValueQualityMomentum
HTHT Huazhu Group Ltd 99.0% 95.0% 92.0% 83.0%
BWMX Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. 99.0% 98.0% 93.0% 90.0%
FLXS Flexsteel Industries Inc 98.0% 95.0% 76.0% 92.0%
SBH Sally Beauty Holdings Inc 97.0% 92.0% 88.0% 78.0%
M Macy’s Inc 97.0% 96.0% 73.0% 87.0%
CYD China Yuchai International Limited 97.0% 99.0% 69.0% 86.0%
LE Lands’ End Inc 96.0% 96.0% 77.0% 69.0%
WEYS Weyco Group Inc 96.0% 91.0% 81.0% 79.0%
Factor Interactions
Strong Capital Return
Shareholder yield 5.2% backed by 9.2% FCF yield. Returns are well-funded.
Volatility Expanding
60-day vol (82%) significantly exceeds 252-day (34%). Near-term risk is elevated.
⚖
Factor Analysis
Comprehensive factor intelligence — strengths, weaknesses & cross-factor profile
Value
C
58.0% avg (7 factors)
Quality
B
69.5% avg (8 factors)
Momentum
F
21.6% avg (4 factors)
Risk
C
59.3% avg (1 factors)
Momentum is weak, suggesting the market isn't yet buying this thesis. Patience required.
▲ Top Strengths — highest scoring factors
▼ Key Weaknesses — lowest scoring factors
Score Trends6 snapshots
Factor Persistence6 snapshots
FactorCurrentStreakTrendSpark
OS Composite0.480—0—
Value %ile0.340—0—
Quality %ile0.880—6—
Momentum %ile0.330—0—
F-Score6.000—0—
Confidence0.970—6—
Volatility0.344—0—
Value Lens2021-07-13 → 2026-07-12
P/E Ratio
Earnings Yield
Value FactorsCheapness relative to fundamentals — lower multiples = cheaper
P/E Ratio
16.97
Earnings Yield (E/P)
0.0709
Price / Sales
1.59
Price / Book
7.82
Price / Cash Flow
13.02
FCF Yield
9.2%
EBITDA / EV
8.5%
Sales Yield (1/P·S)
0.5697
Shareholder Yield
Div + net buyback / mktcap
5.2%
Quality FactorsProfitability, efficiency, and balance sheet strength
Return on Equity
46.1%
Return on Assets
17.2%
Net Margin
9.4%
Operating Margin
12.5%
Gross Profit / Assets
Novy-Marx GPA
72.5%
Debt / Equity
1.67
Current Ratio
1.31
Accruals Ratio
(NI-OCF)/Assets — lower=better
-0.052
External Financing
Net issuance — lower=better
0.163
MomentumPrice trend strength over different horizons
6M Return
-29.6%
12M Return
-1.6%
12-1 Momentum
Jegadeesh-Titman (skip recent month)
-1.9%
Risk-Adjusted Momentum
Mom 12-1 ÷ Vol
-0.06
Growth & StabilityEarnings trajectory, consistency, and capital allocation
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Stability (CV)
Lower = more stable
0.202
5yr Consistent
EPS up every year for 5 years
Yes
Piotroski F-Score
6
Buyback Yield
5.2%
O'Shaughnessy CompositesValue Composites (WWOWS 4th Ed) — 1=cheapest, 100=most expensive
VC1 (5-factor)
P/E+P/S+P/B+P/CF+EBITDA/EV
69
VC2 (6-factor)
VC1 + Shareholder Yield — used for Trending Value
37
VC3 (6-factor)
VC1 + Buyback Yield — no dividend preference
66
Capital Allocation & AlphaAlpha within factors — quality of management decisions
Veiled Value
Expensive by P/B, cheap by everything else
Yes
Market Leader
Above-avg mcap+revenue, non-utility
No
All Stocks Universe
Market cap > $200M
Yes
Tiny Titan
Micro-cap, low P/S, positive momentum
No
Quarterly Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
Show all
Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity
Annual Fundamentals
Revenue
Net Income
FCF
Net Margin
Show all
Op Income
OCF
CapEx
Equity