Energy expectation is falling at 1.8%. 24h move -12.6 pts. 7d move -14.6 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Predictions
Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Polymarket · Technology
Technology expectation is rising at 37.3%. 24h move +32.8 pts. 7d move +21.2 pts. Data quality 26/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 0.6%. 24h move -23.4 pts. 7d move -23.4 pts. Data quality 54/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Polymarket · Technology
Technology expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -30.5 pts. 7d move -30.5 pts. Data quality 34/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 89.5%. 24h move +50.0 pts. 7d move +50.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move -17.0 pts. Data quality 57/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 93.5%. 24h move +10.0 pts. 7d move +10.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 15.3%. 24h move +5.6 pts. 7d move -17.6 pts. Data quality 44/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 2.6%. 24h move -14.8 pts. 7d move -14.8 pts. Data quality 31/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 84.5%. 24h move +29.0 pts. 7d move +32.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 0.2%. 24h move -0.1 pts. 7d move -5.2 pts. Data quality 55/100.