Energy expectation is falling at 2.0%. 24h move -12.4 pts. 7d move -14.4 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Predictions
Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 0.6%. 24h move -23.4 pts. 7d move -23.4 pts. Data quality 54/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Polymarket · Technology
Technology expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -30.5 pts. 7d move -30.5 pts. Data quality 34/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
Polymarket · Technology
Technology expectation is rising at 34.7%. 24h move +30.2 pts. 7d move +18.6 pts. Data quality 27/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 89.5%. 24h move +50.0 pts. 7d move +50.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +8.0 pts. 7d move -17.0 pts. Data quality 57/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 15.2%. 24h move +7.4 pts. 7d move -17.7 pts. Data quality 44/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 2.6%. 24h move -14.9 pts. 7d move -14.9 pts. Data quality 31/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 93.5%. 24h move +10.0 pts. 7d move +10.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 84.5%. 24h move +24.0 pts. 7d move +32.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 33.0%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move -21.5 pts. Data quality 50/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 48.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.