Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 56.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 56.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -12.9 pts. Data quality 42/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
56.1%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
35
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.8K
Liquidity 1.4K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality42.3
Momentum31.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-12.9 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 56.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -12.9 pts. Data quality 42/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Same theme