Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 56.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 56.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -12.9 pts. Data quality 42/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Probability 56.1%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 35
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.8K Liquidity 1.4K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.3
Momentum31.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-12.9 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 56.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -12.9 pts. Data quality 42/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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