Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 98.7% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.7%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
98.7%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
29
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.6K
Liquidity 11.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.9
Momentum0.3
Urgency44.4
7d Move0.2 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.7%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.2 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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