Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 95.7% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.7%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
95.7%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.7K
Liquidity 10.1K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.5
Momentum3.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.7%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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