SMCI NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Super Micro Computer Inc · Technology · Computer Hardware

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Latest close 30.10 USD
24.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.5%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 44/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 6d.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 30.10 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 24.5% latest completed week
4W Return -1.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 34.6% 18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 24.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%. Indicator stack 19/40 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 44/100 conviction; expected move 8.6%. News sentiment 59/100 47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 6d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.5%, after a -1.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, 11.1% over 12 weeks, and -44.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W24.5%
4W-1.7%
12W11.1%
26W-5.0%
52W-44.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-107.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change20.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value66/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Quality15/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Momentum7/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-26.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
8.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-19.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
56.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-2497.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SMCI shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction44/100
Expected move8.6%
Put/call volume0.35
Pressure50
Speculation41
Volatility90
Trend agreement17
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

22 positive · 24 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings6dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-51.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-33.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+24.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol17.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.9% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis42/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.31; No reversal markers Factors27/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 98; Buyback Yield rank 30; Small Cap Core rank 39 SVQF49/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 372.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

SMCI shows bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 8.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.6% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

Super Micro Just Delivered Fantastic News to Nvidia Investors Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings6d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202630.10 USD24.5%30.45 USD44.50 USD-0.08-23.15375.6MOff
17 Jul 202624.18 USD-14.6%30.46 USD44.52 USD0.14-40.30139.0MOff
10 Jul 202628.31 USD4.0%30.69 USD44.56 USD0.42-34.27165.8MOff
3 Jul 202627.22 USD-11.1%30.83 USD44.57 USD0.70-36.68242.3MOff
26 Jun 202630.63 USD-0.1%31.08 USD44.56 USD1.03-29.25335.7MOn
19 Jun 202630.66 USD0.7%31.18 USD44.53 USD1.23-33.29238.0MOn
12 Jun 202630.46 USD-26.8%31.24 USD44.47 USD1.44-32.88610.9MOn
5 Jun 202641.64 USD-9.7%31.43 USD44.42 USD1.35-7.18238.3MOn
29 May 202646.09 USD29.5%31.37 USD44.32 USD1.38-2.46246.7MOff
22 May 202635.58 USD14.6%31.57 USD44.17 USD0.95-22.87155.2MOff
15 May 202631.04 USD-12.2%31.99 USD44.08 USD0.68-32.49160.0MOff
8 May 202635.37 USD30.6%32.70 USD43.99 USD0.53-24.33324.2MOff
1 May 202627.09 USD-6.8%33.28 USD43.85 USD0.04-39.15124.2MOff
24 Apr 202629.08 USD1.8%34.11 USD43.76 USD-0.11-34.22162.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.