MCFT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MCBC Holdings Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

Latest close 23.92 USD
-1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 25d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 23.92 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return 0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.12% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 59.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.4%, after a 0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.66

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.5% over four weeks, -12.6% over 12 weeks, and 25.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.4%
4W0.5%
12W-12.6%
26W11.1%
52W25.8%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.01Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-101.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change119.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality67/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
52.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
170.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-3.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MCFT shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 12.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move12.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation10
Volatility74
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

2 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings25dNext report is scheduled for 26 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-13.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202623.92 USD-1.4%22.88 USD20.55 USD-0.010.68730.0KOn
24 Jul 202624.27 USD-2.8%22.71 USD20.58 USD0.172.73628.1KOn
17 Jul 202624.98 USD3.4%22.55 USD20.62 USD0.524.01625.1KOn
10 Jul 202624.15 USD1.5%22.37 USD20.64 USD0.52-3.56535.4KOn
3 Jul 202623.79 USD-6.5%22.20 USD20.66 USD0.58-3.46804.4KOn
26 Jun 202625.45 USD9.3%22.01 USD20.69 USD0.453.991.2MOn
19 Jun 202623.29 USD0.3%21.78 USD20.73 USD0.16-9.04543.8KOn
12 Jun 202623.22 USD5.7%21.61 USD20.76 USD0.21-7.04585.5KOn
5 Jun 202621.97 USD-5.7%21.45 USD20.80 USD0.18-10.12595.1KOn
29 May 202623.29 USD-0.6%21.39 USD20.85 USD0.54-9.14635.0KOn
22 May 202623.44 USD-1.1%21.28 USD20.88 USD0.55-5.981.3MOn
15 May 202623.70 USD-13.4%21.26 USD20.90 USD0.40-3.81890.4KOn
8 May 202627.38 USD16.8%21.16 USD20.93 USD0.3410.691.4MOn
1 May 202623.44 USD-0.4%20.90 USD20.93 USD-0.050.15582.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.