SBSW NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR · Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining

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Latest close 8.36 USD
4.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -34.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.5%, after a -5.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 32d.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 8.36 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.5% latest completed week
4W Return -5.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -30.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.7%. Indicator stack 36/28 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 13.5%. News sentiment 54/100 45 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 32d Next report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -34.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.5%, after a -5.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.7% over four weeks, -30.7% over 12 weeks, and -6.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.5%
4W-5.7%
12W-30.7%
26W-55.8%
52W-6.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-9.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-34.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-14.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
210.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-3.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
31.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
43.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SBSW shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move13.5%
Put/call volume0.38
Pressure53
Speculation40
Volatility83
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

17 positive · 22 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings32dNext report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-59.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-20.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape27/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis11/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors56/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 67; Small Cap Core rank 3 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

SBSW shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 13.5% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 45 relevant articles.

BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) discloses 5.0% ownership in Sibanye Stillwater (SBSW) Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings32d

Next report is scheduled for 01 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20268.36 USD4.5%12.67 USD7.11 USD-1.19-34.0024.1MOff
17 Jul 20268.00 USD-6.4%12.90 USD7.10 USD-1.04-37.4223.0MOff
10 Jul 20268.55 USD-4.6%13.10 USD7.09 USD-0.99-34.4124.7MOff
3 Jul 20268.96 USD1.0%13.24 USD7.08 USD-0.95-30.4526.7MOff
26 Jun 20268.87 USD-8.3%13.34 USD7.06 USD-1.08-29.6530.9MOff
19 Jun 20269.67 USD-1.9%13.48 USD7.04 USD-1.17-25.0522.9MOff
12 Jun 20269.86 USD-2.6%13.52 USD7.02 USD-1.21-22.7331.5MOff
5 Jun 202610.12 USD-15.2%13.55 USD7.00 USD-1.25-20.0823.2MOff
29 May 202611.93 USD4.3%13.56 USD6.98 USD-1.13-7.8621.1MOff
22 May 202611.44 USD-5.6%13.50 USD6.95 USD-1.16-9.7923.7MOff
15 May 202612.12 USD-9.0%13.48 USD6.92 USD-1.13-3.0619.0MOff
8 May 202613.32 USD10.4%13.44 USD6.89 USD-1.077.8126.5MOff
1 May 202612.07 USD-5.1%13.35 USD6.85 USD-1.131.0621.8MOff
24 Apr 202612.72 USD-7.8%13.31 USD6.83 USD-1.158.6022.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.