TGT MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Target Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores

Latest close 2,500 MXN
6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 9.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 2,500 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 9.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 48.1% 25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 25-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 9.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9412-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.94Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.5% over four weeks, 15.7% over 12 weeks, and 33.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 25 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.4%
4W9.5%
12W15.7%
26W37.4%
52W33.4%
Active trend streak25 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change197.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change74.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

9 positive · 20 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262,500 MXN6.4%2,154 MXN2,282 MXN0.3724.21488On
24 Jul 20262,349 MXN-3.8%2,131 MXN2,281 MXN0.1218.01247On
17 Jul 20262,442 MXN3.9%2,111 MXN2,280 MXN0.3422.32267On
10 Jul 20262,350 MXN2.9%2,089 MXN2,279 MXN0.0718.14204On
3 Jul 20262,283 MXN-7.2%2,068 MXN2,278 MXN0.1213.89161On
26 Jun 20262,460 MXN10.3%2,048 MXN2,278 MXN0.0422.4650On
19 Jun 20262,230 MXN-4.3%2,021 MXN2,276 MXN-0.0110.530On
12 Jun 20262,331 MXN9.4%2,001 MXN2,276 MXN0.1815.141.8KOn
5 Jun 20262,131 MXN-4.5%1,978 MXN2,276 MXN0.158.3495On
29 May 20262,232 MXN1.5%1,963 MXN2,276 MXN0.479.476.3KOn
22 May 20262,200 MXN3.5%1,946 MXN2,277 MXN0.638.381.4KOn
15 May 20262,125 MXN-1.6%1,931 MXN2,279 MXN0.935.322.0KOn
8 May 20262,161 MXN-4.3%1,916 MXN2,282 MXN1.154.07210On
1 May 20262,258 MXN-0.5%1,896 MXN2,286 MXN1.2611.78264On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.