MEX Equity Snapshot

COST Weekly Equity Report

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Latest Close 16,795 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -1.4% latest completed week
4W Return -7.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

COST closed the latest completed week at 16,795 MXN. The 4-week return is -7.6% and the 12-week return is -3.9%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.40. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 34/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -1.2%
Volume 0.4x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 54 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 29 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 28 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 13 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 17 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 61 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
16,996 MXN
Vs Trend Line
-1.2%
Fair Value
15,619 MXN
Vs Fair Value
7.5%
52W High
19,183 MXN
52W Low
15,167 MXN
Drawdown
-12.4%
Range Position
40.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -1.4%
4W -7.6%
12W -3.9%
26W 5.1%
52W -10.4%

Trend read

Active Streak
12 weeks
52W Active Weeks
12
52W Active Breadth
23.1%
Sector Scope
MX Consumer Defensive
Sector Rank
43 of 53
Sector Percentile
19.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.40
4W MD Change
-181.3%
Relative Strength
-8.88
4W RS Change
-135.5%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
54.50%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
805
13W Average
2.0K
52W Average
3.1K
Vs 13W
0.4x
Vs 52W
0.3x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.8%
52W Volatility
2.6%
Upside Weeks
22
Downside Weeks
30
Downside Breadth
57.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.2% / -1.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Discount Stores
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
7273.6B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 16,795 MXN -1.4% 16,996 MXN 15,619 MXN -0.40 -8.88 805 On
5 Jun 2026 17,041 MXN 2.5% 17,001 MXN 15,568 MXN 0.08 -5.54 1.2K On
29 May 2026 16,624 MXN -6.3% 17,000 MXN 15,516 MXN 0.26 -11.62 4.3K On
22 May 2026 17,750 MXN -2.3% 17,013 MXN 15,467 MXN 0.44 -6.00 2.1K On
15 May 2026 18,167 MXN 4.9% 16,994 MXN 15,409 MXN 0.49 -3.77 10.1K On
8 May 2026 17,315 MXN -1.1% 16,962 MXN 15,349 MXN 0.32 -11.23 947 On
1 May 2026 17,514 MXN -0.2% 16,959 MXN 15,295 MXN 0.46 -8.19 804 On
24 Apr 2026 17,549 MXN 1.4% 16,937 MXN 15,239 MXN 0.65 -10.42 668 On
17 Apr 2026 17,302 MXN 0.2% 16,914 MXN 15,184 MXN 0.80 -12.92 1.5K On
10 Apr 2026 17,262 MXN -3.3% 16,922 MXN 15,132 MXN 0.89 -14.03 857 On
3 Apr 2026 17,853 MXN 0.3% 16,942 MXN 15,078 MXN 0.99 -11.47 1.7K On
27 Mar 2026 17,807 MXN 1.9% 16,947 MXN 15,022 MXN 0.96 -8.39 287 On
20 Mar 2026 17,474 MXN -3.5% 16,940 MXN 14,965 MXN 0.90 -7.08 308 Off
13 Mar 2026 18,098 MXN 2.0% 16,949 MXN 14,912 MXN 0.86 -6.44 2.2K Off