- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.88% based on similar historical setup states.
WMT
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
1,933 MXN
1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
1,933 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-14.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.0%.
Indicator stack
40/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.88%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a -1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -14.1% over 12 weeks, and 4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
5 positive · 22 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.8%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Defensive
4-week rank34 / 53
Group average0.7%
Trend breadth34.0%
Trend34.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.6%positive activity pressure
RS35.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Discount Stores
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.88%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.88% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.
Walmart’s stock buybacks: How its massive new repurchase program could affect shareholder returns Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,933 MXN | 1.2% | 2,128 MXN | 1,611 MXN | -1.33 | -7.65 | 4.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,911 MXN | -5.5% | 2,130 MXN | 1,605 MXN | -1.26 | -8.15 | 4.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,022 MXN | 1.5% | 2,133 MXN | 1,598 MXN | -1.24 | -3.35 | 5.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,992 MXN | 2.0% | 2,135 MXN | 1,591 MXN | -1.31 | -4.65 | 4.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,953 MXN | -3.9% | 2,137 MXN | 1,584 MXN | -1.32 | -7.36 | 17.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,033 MXN | 0.6% | 2,142 MXN | 1,577 MXN | -1.32 | -3.98 | 7.5K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,021 MXN | -2.8% | 2,142 MXN | 1,570 MXN | -1.26 | -5.30 | 25 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2,080 MXN | -0.0% | 2,139 MXN | 1,562 MXN | -1.15 | -3.06 | 1.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2,081 MXN | 2.8% | 2,132 MXN | 1,555 MXN | -0.91 | -0.38 | 15.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,024 MXN | -2.9% | 2,126 MXN | 1,547 MXN | -0.72 | -6.60 | 16.6K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,085 MXN | -8.8% | 2,122 MXN | 1,540 MXN | -0.43 | -3.64 | 11.6K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,285 MXN | 1.5% | 2,117 MXN | 1,532 MXN | -0.20 | 6.08 | 1.8K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,251 MXN | -2.6% | 2,107 MXN | 1,523 MXN | -0.13 | 1.71 | 1.6K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 2,311 MXN | 1.9% | 2,095 MXN | 1,514 MXN | -0.03 | 7.43 | 2.2K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.