MDA NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MDA Space Ltd. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 29.57 USD
-2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 24.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -17.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 29.57 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.2% latest completed week
4W Return -17.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 20 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.98% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.0%. Indicator stack 0/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.98% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 38/100 conviction; expected move 17.8%. News sentiment 53/100 43 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 7d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is - below the Trend Line and sits at 24.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -17.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2112-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.0% over four weeks, -4.4% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.2%
4W-17.0%
12W-4.4%
26W-
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum36/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
62.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
23.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
45.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
8.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-69.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MDA shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.80, expected move of 17.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move17.8%
Put/call volume0.80
Pressure17
Speculation1
Volatility93
Trend agreement83
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

12 positive · 28 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-40.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 199 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-21.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol10.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split10/9Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.1% / -10.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis8/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.21; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.98%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.98% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors16/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 65; Small Cap Core rank 97 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

MDA shows mixed options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.80, expected move of 17.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 17.8% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 43 relevant articles.

MDA SPACE ANNOUNCES OFFERING OF C$600 MILLION SENIOR UNSECURED NOTES DUE 2033 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings7d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202629.57 USD-2.2%-34.40 USD0.00-6.0MOff
17 Jul 202630.24 USD-11.1%-34.65 USD0.00-13.7MOff
10 Jul 202634.00 USD-16.6%-34.90 USD0.00-15.5MOff
3 Jul 202640.75 USD14.3%-34.95 USD0.00-4.4MOff
26 Jun 202635.64 USD-9.5%-34.59 USD0.00-7.5MOff
19 Jun 202639.40 USD5.7%-34.51 USD0.00-9.2MOff
12 Jun 202637.27 USD-2.8%-34.17 USD0.00-6.8MOff
5 Jun 202638.33 USD-14.3%-33.93 USD0.00-5.9MOff
29 May 202644.73 USD3.8%-33.56 USD0.00-8.2MOff
22 May 202643.11 USD13.8%-32.54 USD0.00-4.4MOff
15 May 202637.87 USD9.4%-31.49 USD0.00-3.8MOff
8 May 202634.61 USD11.9%-30.78 USD0.00-2.8MOff
1 May 202630.93 USD-4.1%-30.30 USD0.00-2.3MOff
24 Apr 202632.25 USD-8.4%-30.21 USD0.00-2.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.