- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
INCO
JKT
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
5,275 IDR
8.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 15.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
5,275 IDR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
8.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
15.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.69% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 15.2%.
Indicator stack
44/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.69%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 39.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 15.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2512-week average 0.41
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 15.2% over four weeks, -1.1% over 12 weeks, and 48.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.92Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership23.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change28.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
3 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-21.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+8.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.1% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank25 / 83
Group average13.7%
Trend breadth13.3%
Trend13.3%active weekly trend signals
MD34.9%positive activity pressure
RS62.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank2 / 17
Group average3.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD5.9%positive activity pressure
RS35.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.25; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.69%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.69% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Revenue Breakdown – IDX:INCO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5,275 IDR | 8.3% | 5,751 IDR | 4,350 IDR | -0.92 | 23.77 | 75.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,870 IDR | -0.8% | 5,752 IDR | 4,358 IDR | -1.07 | 16.22 | 80.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,910 IDR | 4.7% | 5,758 IDR | 4,367 IDR | -1.17 | 18.59 | 51.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,690 IDR | 2.4% | 5,731 IDR | 4,375 IDR | -1.21 | 19.24 | 38.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4,580 IDR | 2.9% | 5,703 IDR | 4,385 IDR | -1.32 | 18.46 | 72.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,450 IDR | -12.3% | 5,680 IDR | 4,396 IDR | -1.45 | 15.59 | 10.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5,075 IDR | 7.7% | 5,659 IDR | 4,409 IDR | -1.37 | 26.89 | 9.3M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,710 IDR | 4.9% | 5,621 IDR | 4,416 IDR | -1.19 | 22.37 | 29.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,492 IDR | -3.4% | 5,606 IDR | 4,426 IDR | -0.99 | 26.47 | 38.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,649 IDR | -14.8% | 5,606 IDR | 4,439 IDR | -0.77 | 20.54 | 118.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5,455 IDR | -5.5% | 5,610 IDR | 4,449 IDR | -0.61 | 41.81 | 267.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5,774 IDR | 8.3% | 5,568 IDR | 4,456 IDR | -0.63 | 39.31 | 75.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,332 IDR | -20.8% | 5,516 IDR | 4,463 IDR | -0.56 | 25.86 | 125.9M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 6,733 IDR | 2.2% | 5,490 IDR | 4,472 IDR | -0.55 | 61.01 | 63.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.