VIK NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Viking Holdings Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

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Latest close 104.3 USD
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 16d.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 104.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 26.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 57-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.6%. Indicator stack 100/65 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.12% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 56/100 conviction; expected move 8.8%. News sentiment 58/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 16d Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 3.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.6% over four weeks, 26.2% over 12 weeks, and 81.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 57 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W3.6%
12W26.2%
26W44.6%
52W81.3%
Active trend streak57 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-27.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership29.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
37.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
25.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
61.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
54.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
20.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
126.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

VIK shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 13.66, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction56/100
Expected move8.8%
Put/call volume13.66
Pressure-93
Speculation41
Volatility68
Trend agreement3
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

26 positive · 25 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape77/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 77/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis87/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.12%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.12% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 68 SVQF34/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 665.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options23/100

VIK shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 13.66, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 8.8% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Viking Holdings Price Target Raised to $120.00/Share From $108.00 by Goldman Sachs Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings16d

Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026104.3 USD3.6%83.11 USD56.12 USD0.9729.2110.4MOn
24 Jul 2026100.7 USD3.8%82.04 USD55.71 USD0.9927.119.4MOn
17 Jul 202697.04 USD-2.1%81.13 USD55.32 USD1.1922.727.7MOn
10 Jul 202699.14 USD-1.5%80.33 USD54.96 USD1.3524.2610.7MOn
3 Jul 2026100.7 USD-2.5%79.32 USD54.57 USD1.3328.8611.1MOn
26 Jun 2026103.3 USD6.3%78.20 USD54.16 USD1.1836.1517.9MOn
19 Jun 202697.17 USD5.3%76.98 USD53.72 USD1.0926.3612.3MOn
12 Jun 202692.25 USD2.6%75.87 USD53.33 USD0.9922.1210.3MOn
5 Jun 202689.94 USD-2.4%74.78 USD52.98 USD0.9420.7811.6MOn
29 May 202692.11 USD9.4%73.72 USD52.64 USD0.8921.5117.7MOn
22 May 202684.23 USD0.6%72.68 USD52.28 USD0.6213.7223.7MOn
15 May 202683.70 USD1.2%71.89 USD51.98 USD0.4614.8023.8MOn
8 May 202682.67 USD1.4%71.12 USD51.68 USD0.4814.3214.6MOn
1 May 202681.50 USD-0.4%70.31 USD51.38 USD0.3316.1510.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.