RCL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

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Latest close 318.3 USD
8.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 318.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.4% latest completed week
4W Return 7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.62% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 8.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.4%. Indicator stack 14/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.62% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 57/100 conviction; expected move 9.7%. News sentiment 57/100 53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 10.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.4%, after a 7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5012-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.4% over four weeks, 16.3% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.4%
4W7.4%
12W16.3%
26W-0.9%
52W3.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change99.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength33/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth80/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
47.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
30.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
65.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
17.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
38.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
32.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

RCL shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.66, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move9.7%
Put/call volume1.66
Pressure-37
Speculation40
Volatility73
Trend agreement98
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

21 positive · 26 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-10.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+8.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape46/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis30/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.50; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.62%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.62% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors44/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22 SVQF48/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 529.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options65/100

RCL shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.66, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.7% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

Royal Caribbean makes bold statement on cruise prices Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026318.3 USD8.4%288.4 USD212.9 USD0.49-0.0614.4MOff
24 Jul 2026293.5 USD2.3%287.2 USD211.5 USD0.34-7.1513.7MOff
17 Jul 2026287.0 USD0.6%286.8 USD210.3 USD0.59-10.3812.2MOff
10 Jul 2026285.4 USD-3.7%286.9 USD209.1 USD0.75-12.909.7MOff
3 Jul 2026296.3 USD-6.9%286.5 USD207.8 USD0.86-8.998.5MOff
26 Jun 2026318.1 USD1.8%285.1 USD206.6 USD0.74-0.7517.6MOff
19 Jun 2026312.5 USD6.2%283.3 USD205.2 USD0.38-5.0810.8MOff
12 Jun 2026294.4 USD5.1%281.5 USD203.8 USD-0.02-9.9011.3MOff
5 Jun 2026280.0 USD-1.1%280.0 USD202.5 USD-0.45-13.9413.1MOff
29 May 2026283.1 USD11.1%279.1 USD201.3 USD-0.55-15.4414.8MOff
22 May 2026254.8 USD-1.6%279.1 USD200.0 USD-0.63-23.0119.5MOff
15 May 2026258.9 USD-5.4%281.0 USD198.9 USD-0.65-21.3010.3MOff
8 May 2026273.8 USD3.6%282.2 USD197.7 USD-0.44-16.8814.8MOff
1 May 2026264.2 USD-0.1%283.1 USD196.4 USD-0.46-18.0516.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.