ZTO NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

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Latest close 23.98 USD
0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 9.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 19d.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 23.98 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 9.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.4%. Indicator stack 39/41 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 50/100 conviction; expected move 7.2%. News sentiment 57/100 49 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 19d Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 9.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.64

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.4% over four weeks, -4.6% over 12 weeks, and 21.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.3%
4W9.4%
12W-4.6%
26W11.1%
52W21.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change171.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
2.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
69.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
40.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-2.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ZTO shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction50/100
Expected move7.2%
Put/call volume0.01
Pressure86
Speculation41
Volatility53
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

19 positive · 29 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings19dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape51/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis37/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Factors88/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9; Small Cap Core rank 2 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options47/100

ZTO shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 7.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.2% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 49 relevant articles.

ZTO Express Cancels Repurchased ADS-Linked Shares, Trimming Class A Float Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings19d

Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202623.98 USD0.3%23.38 USD20.18 USD-0.702.964.9MOff
17 Jul 202623.92 USD0.4%23.28 USD20.19 USD-0.862.187.9MOff
10 Jul 202623.83 USD3.2%23.18 USD20.19 USD-1.120.386.3MOff
3 Jul 202623.08 USD5.3%23.09 USD20.19 USD-1.20-1.326.2MOff
26 Jun 202621.91 USD-0.4%23.03 USD20.19 USD-1.29-4.147.2MOff
19 Jun 202622.00 USD-3.6%22.98 USD20.20 USD-1.31-5.935.7MOff
12 Jun 202622.83 USD2.5%22.87 USD20.20 USD-1.16-1.417.2MOff
5 Jun 202622.28 USD0.7%22.74 USD20.22 USD-1.05-3.117.5MOn
29 May 202622.12 USD-3.8%22.61 USD20.23 USD-0.64-6.097.7MOn
22 May 202622.99 USD-3.2%22.48 USD20.24 USD-0.24-0.9810.6MOn
15 May 202623.74 USD-5.2%22.35 USD20.25 USD0.083.2910.4MOn
8 May 202625.05 USD-0.4%22.18 USD20.27 USD0.349.3011.5MOn
1 May 202625.14 USD-2.3%21.95 USD20.27 USD0.3412.387.2MOn
24 Apr 202625.73 USD2.5%21.74 USD20.27 USD0.3716.256.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.