MRCY NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mercury Systems Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 103.3 USD
7.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a -5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 103.3 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.5% latest completed week
4W Return -5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 31.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.6%. Indicator stack 90/53 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 17.6%. News sentiment 52/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.5%, after a -5.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8712-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.87Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.6% over four weeks, 31.5% over 12 weeks, and 94.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.5%
4W-5.6%
12W31.5%
26W4.3%
52W94.9%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-64.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-33.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality18/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
73.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
9.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-39.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

MRCY shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.72, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move17.6%
Put/call volume0.72
Pressure22
Speculation8
Volatility96
Trend agreement75
Open options detail
Insider activity2 / 5

2 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

14 positive · 30 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-14.4%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+7.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.87; 8 reversal markers Factors28/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 71; Small Cap Core rank 97 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options63/100

MRCY shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.72, expected move of 17.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 17.6% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

Mercury Systems to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results on August 18, 2026 Insiders2 / 5

2 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026103.3 USD7.5%93.18 USD53.22 USD0.4814.123.1MOn
17 Jul 202696.08 USD-11.0%92.21 USD52.79 USD0.785.364.2MOn
10 Jul 2026108.0 USD-14.4%91.33 USD52.41 USD1.0414.252.3MOn
3 Jul 2026126.2 USD15.4%90.21 USD51.94 USD1.2737.103.0MOn
26 Jun 2026109.4 USD-4.0%88.36 USD51.35 USD1.3421.365.2MOn
19 Jun 2026113.9 USD-5.3%87.04 USD50.87 USD1.3621.753.9MOn
12 Jun 2026120.3 USD8.1%85.47 USD50.36 USD1.1733.173.0MOn
5 Jun 2026111.3 USD-0.4%83.82 USD49.84 USD0.9027.314.4MOn
29 May 2026111.7 USD13.3%82.58 USD49.40 USD0.6023.143.4MOn
22 May 202698.55 USD7.1%81.44 USD48.95 USD0.0112.772.2MOn
15 May 202692.03 USD1.9%80.80 USD48.57 USD-0.407.342.2MOn
8 May 202690.34 USD15.0%80.25 USD48.24 USD-0.695.724.5MOn
1 May 202678.55 USD0.7%79.69 USD47.93 USD-1.00-2.532.0MOff
24 Apr 202677.99 USD-7.2%79.86 USD47.68 USD-1.02-1.552.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.