GWRE NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Guidewire Software Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 138.2 USD
-7.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a 13.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 28/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 35d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 138.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.9% latest completed week
4W Return 13.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.8%. Indicator stack 17/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 28/100 conviction; expected move 17.5%. News sentiment 55/100 67 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 35d Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a 13.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.8% over four weeks, -2.1% over 12 weeks, and -38.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.9%
4W13.8%
12W-2.1%
26W-13.6%
52W-38.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.68Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change676.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jul 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum8/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
72.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
8.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
57.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
24.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
361.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
11.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

GWRE shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.95, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction28/100
Expected move17.5%
Put/call volume0.95
Pressure10
Speculation5
Volatility80
Trend agreement55
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

21 positive · 42 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings35dNext report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-21.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-7.9%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses10
Recent vol8.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -5.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape34/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis31/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors26/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 70; Small Cap Core rank 100 SVQF17/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 836.0 of 1010 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

GWRE shows mixed options pressure with a 28/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.95, expected move of 17.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 17.5% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 67 relevant articles.

Guidewire Software (GWRE) Remains Well Positioned Despite AI Growth Concerns Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings35d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026138.2 USD-7.9%143.0 USD159.9 USD0.68-28.796.0MOff
17 Jul 2026150.0 USD10.2%145.2 USD159.6 USD0.53-24.107.8MOff
10 Jul 2026136.1 USD1.2%146.9 USD159.1 USD0.11-32.945.6MOff
3 Jul 2026134.5 USD10.7%149.2 USD158.7 USD-0.03-33.706.1MOff
26 Jun 2026121.5 USD12.6%151.7 USD158.4 USD0.09-39.6211.9MOff
19 Jun 2026107.9 USD-12.0%154.8 USD158.1 USD0.22-48.4610.8MOff
12 Jun 2026122.6 USD-9.9%158.4 USD157.8 USD0.45-41.9210.1MOff
5 Jun 2026136.1 USD-10.9%161.7 USD157.5 USD0.56-36.3012.9MOff
29 May 2026152.7 USD8.8%164.4 USD157.1 USD0.44-31.434.5MOff
22 May 2026140.3 USD7.8%167.1 USD156.6 USD0.31-36.789.0MOff
15 May 2026130.1 USD-6.0%170.8 USD156.2 USD0.19-41.507.4MOff
8 May 2026138.4 USD-2.0%174.6 USD155.9 USD0.16-38.405.0MOff
1 May 2026141.3 USD1.2%178.0 USD155.5 USD0.06-36.454.5MOff
24 Apr 2026139.6 USD-0.6%180.9 USD155.1 USD-0.00-37.326.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.