MSFT MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Microsoft Corporation · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 8,058 MXN
20.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.4%, after a 16.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 8,058 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 20.4% latest completed week
4W Return 16.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 48.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.4%, after a 16.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1912-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 16.8% over four weeks, 13.1% over 12 weeks, and -18.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W20.4%
4W16.8%
12W13.1%
26W7.6%
52W-18.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1217.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.82Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change85.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 36 relevant articles.

11 positive · 24 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+20.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/33Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20268,058 MXN20.4%7,140 MXN7,753 MXN0.38-2.82151.4KOff
24 Jul 20266,694 MXN-3.3%7,153 MXN7,737 MXN0.14-19.2825.5KOff
17 Jul 20266,921 MXN2.8%7,221 MXN7,731 MXN0.21-17.6856.0KOff
10 Jul 20266,730 MXN-2.5%7,282 MXN7,723 MXN0.07-20.5850.9KOff
3 Jul 20266,901 MXN5.0%7,349 MXN7,717 MXN0.03-20.0274.1KOff
26 Jun 20266,570 MXN-1.5%7,411 MXN7,710 MXN0.01-24.7219.9KOff
19 Jun 20266,667 MXN-0.9%7,492 MXN7,705 MXN0.32-24.87349Off
12 Jun 20266,728 MXN-7.6%7,560 MXN7,699 MXN0.55-25.1711.8KOff
5 Jun 20267,284 MXN-5.5%7,647 MXN7,694 MXN0.77-17.4527.0KOff
29 May 20267,709 MXN6.4%7,710 MXN7,683 MXN0.84-16.2862.6KOff
22 May 20267,248 MXN-0.9%7,774 MXN7,671 MXN0.68-21.4661.9KOff
15 May 20267,315 MXN2.6%7,855 MXN7,662 MXN0.60-20.8161.0KOff
8 May 20267,126 MXN-0.3%7,926 MXN7,652 MXN0.53-25.3978.9KOff
1 May 20267,145 MXN-3.2%8,004 MXN7,641 MXN0.16-23.5245.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.