DBX MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Dropbox, Inc. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 532.0 MXN
0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 14.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 46/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 532.0 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return 14.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.87% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 14.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.28

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.6% over four weeks, 24.3% over 12 weeks, and 2.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%
4W14.6%
12W24.3%
26W18.2%
52W2.3%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.20Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change152.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment46/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 264 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks13
Modest losses1
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/13Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026532.0 MXN0.4%457.3 MXN496.3 MXN1.345.2012On
24 Jul 2026530.0 MXN0.0%456.1 MXN495.9 MXN1.105.360On
17 Jul 2026530.0 MXN8.2%455.1 MXN495.4 MXN0.984.5427On
10 Jul 2026490.0 MXN5.5%454.1 MXN495.0 MXN0.92-3.5953Off
3 Jul 2026464.2 MXN-5.9%454.0 MXN494.8 MXN1.02-9.9510Off
26 Jun 2026493.1 MXN0.0%456.5 MXN494.8 MXN1.18-5.190Off
19 Jun 2026493.1 MXN0.0%459.3 MXN494.6 MXN1.24-6.380Off
12 Jun 2026493.1 MXN0.0%462.2 MXN494.3 MXN1.17-7.290Off
5 Jun 2026493.1 MXN8.8%465.0 MXN494.0 MXN0.93-5.280Off
29 May 2026453.2 MXN-1.9%467.8 MXN493.5 MXN0.69-16.4414.1KOff
22 May 2026462.0 MXN7.9%470.5 MXN493.2 MXN0.39-15.098Off
15 May 2026428.0 MXN0.0%473.2 MXN492.8 MXN0.22-21.520Off
8 May 2026428.0 MXN0.0%476.6 MXN492.6 MXN-0.10-24.308Off
1 May 2026428.0 MXN2.1%479.8 MXN492.2 MXN-0.42-22.8637Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.