MNRO NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Monro Muffler Brake Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Latest close 12.25 USD
-27.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -27.0%, after a -28.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 60/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 12.25 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -27.0% latest completed week
4W Return -28.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -29.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -27.0%, after a -28.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -28.8% over four weeks, -29.6% over 12 weeks, and -7.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-27.0%
4W-28.8%
12W-29.6%
26W-32.6%
52W-7.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-115.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-35.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-168.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength27/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum66/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework14/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
241.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
35.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-27.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MNRO shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.07, expected move of 14.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction60/100
Expected move14.9%
Put/call volume0.07
Pressure96
Speculation45
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment47/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

6 positive · 34 neutral · 14 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move14.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-27.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-27.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -6.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.25 USD-27.0%17.37 USD20.49 USD-0.05-35.458.4MOff
24 Jul 202616.79 USD-1.0%17.60 USD20.61 USD0.18-11.433.3MOff
17 Jul 202616.96 USD0.9%17.71 USD20.70 USD0.30-12.073.2MOff
10 Jul 202616.81 USD-2.3%17.82 USD20.81 USD0.36-16.473.9MOff
3 Jul 202617.21 USD-0.1%17.95 USD20.93 USD0.35-13.193.4MOff
26 Jun 202617.22 USD10.7%18.00 USD21.04 USD0.08-12.645.1MOff
19 Jun 202615.55 USD-2.5%18.02 USD21.15 USD-0.12-24.719.9MOff
12 Jun 202615.95 USD9.8%18.09 USD21.27 USD-0.34-20.966.6MOff
5 Jun 202614.53 USD-10.1%18.12 USD21.39 USD-0.54-26.546.1MOff
29 May 202616.16 USD-1.8%18.19 USD21.52 USD-0.42-22.408.7MOff
22 May 202616.46 USD6.3%18.12 USD21.65 USD-0.47-19.005.0MOff
15 May 202615.49 USD-11.1%18.14 USD21.78 USD-0.54-22.874.3MOff
8 May 202617.41 USD0.8%18.18 USD21.93 USD-0.58-13.693.9MOff
1 May 202617.27 USD2.7%18.12 USD22.09 USD-0.73-9.594.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.