- The trend backdrop is active with a 68-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 66.63% based on similar historical setup states.
STX
NASDAQ
Week ended 18 Sep 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Seagate Technology PLC · Technology · Computer Hardware
Latest close
858.79 USD
3.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 36d.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
858.79 USD
18 Sep 2026
1W Return
3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%.
Indicator stack
100/24
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 66.63%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Mixed
42/100 conviction; expected move 6.9%.
News sentiment
55/100
73 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
36d
Next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.4%, after a 1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7112-week average 0.85
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, -4.6% over 12 weeks, and 291.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 68 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak68 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.88Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-121.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership45.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 11 Sep 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum100/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 59.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 15.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 42.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 45.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 33.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 25.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 81.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 34.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 116.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 280.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
STX shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.12, expected move of 6.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction42/100
Expected move6.9%
Put/call volume1.12
Insider activity6 / 14
6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.
24 positive · 37 neutral · 12 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings36dNext report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
14 Aug
18 Sep
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.0%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-15.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+3.4%Week of 18 Sep.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains12
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses6
Recent vol9.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -7.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Technology
4-week rank42 / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth61.0%
Trend61.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS55.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Computer Hardware
4-week rank17 / 37
Group average-2.2%
Trend breadth43.2%
Trend43.2%active weekly trend signals
MD45.9%positive activity pressure
RS37.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape64/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis70/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.71; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 66.63%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 66.63% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 32 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options56/100STX shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.12, expected move of 6.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 6.9% Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 73 relevant articles.
Seagate Technology Holdings rises 7% amid storage peer gains (STX:NASDAQ) Insiders6 / 146 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings36dNext report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow6 items3 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | 858.79 USD | 3.4% | 732.34 USD | 248.72 USD | -0.88 | 45.87 | 23.9M | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 830.17 USD | -2.3% | 717.39 USD | 243.61 USD | -0.89 | 45.12 | 15.8M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 849.28 USD | 2.4% | 703.90 USD | 238.67 USD | -0.73 | 50.62 | 14.1M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 829.76 USD | -2.4% | 689.87 USD | 233.62 USD | -0.62 | 50.84 | 15.6M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 850.00 USD | -12.7% | 675.78 USD | 228.74 USD | -0.40 | 58.61 | 21.0M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 973.44 USD | 19.8% | 658.96 USD | 223.68 USD | -0.26 | 81.51 | 21.8M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 812.76 USD | -5.1% | 637.37 USD | 217.82 USD | -0.22 | 57.64 | 26.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 856.13 USD | 0.5% | 620.39 USD | 213.01 USD | 0.02 | 78.66 | 36.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 851.69 USD | 8.1% | 601.42 USD | 207.92 USD | 0.09 | 83.61 | 26.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 787.66 USD | -13.5% | 582.55 USD | 202.84 USD | 0.43 | 71.87 | 25.9M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 910.34 USD | 11.0% | 566.13 USD | 198.15 USD | 0.97 | 95.32 | 21.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 820.16 USD | -8.9% | 545.34 USD | 192.68 USD | 1.25 | 84.64 | 19.5M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 899.90 USD | -15.9% | 527.25 USD | 187.79 USD | 1.50 | 110.05 | 31.2M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,069.43 USD | 14.9% | 506.44 USD | 182.39 USD | 1.58 | 146.34 | 24.6M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.