ADBE NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Adobe Systems Incorporated · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 250.4 USD
11.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.2%, after a 14.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 40d.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 250.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 11.2% latest completed week
4W Return 14.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 11.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 14.0%. Indicator stack 0/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 5.7%. News sentiment 55/100 42 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 40d Next report is scheduled for 10 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.2%, after a 14.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals3Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.0% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and -28.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.2%
4W14.0%
12W-1.0%
26W-14.6%
52W-28.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1561.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change40.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum8/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
89.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
36.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
43.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
53.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
12.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
9.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ADBE shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.40, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction40/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume0.40
Pressure49
Speculation41
Volatility58
Trend agreement19
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

12 positive · 25 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings40dNext report is scheduled for 10 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-18.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+11.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis27/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Factors68/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Options47/100

ADBE shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.40, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.7% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

Adobe: How AI Is Enhancing Its Business, Not Killing It (NASDAQ:ADBE) Insiders0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings40d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026250.4 USD11.2%250.6 USD425.9 USD0.56-22.0736.0MOff
24 Jul 2026225.1 USD-5.1%253.3 USD427.6 USD0.24-30.3223.6MOff
17 Jul 2026237.2 USD6.1%257.6 USD429.6 USD0.17-28.6928.3MOff
10 Jul 2026223.6 USD1.8%261.6 USD431.4 USD-0.03-36.3825.7MOff
3 Jul 2026219.7 USD8.4%266.0 USD433.3 USD-0.04-37.2327.6MOff
26 Jun 2026202.7 USD3.9%270.2 USD435.0 USD0.11-42.4338.3MOff
19 Jun 2026195.2 USD-4.3%274.1 USD436.8 USD0.29-47.9243.5MOff
12 Jun 2026204.0 USD-18.9%278.4 USD438.7 USD0.41-45.0559.5MOff
5 Jun 2026251.4 USD-3.0%282.7 USD440.5 USD0.47-31.8929.3MOff
29 May 2026259.2 USD5.9%285.2 USD441.8 USD0.35-34.0020.8MOff
22 May 2026244.8 USD-1.1%287.9 USD443.0 USD0.18-36.9124.1MOff
15 May 2026247.6 USD-2.1%291.5 USD444.1 USD0.06-36.4421.7MOff
8 May 2026253.0 USD0.9%294.4 USD444.9 USD-0.20-36.2722.1MOff
1 May 2026250.7 USD2.1%297.2 USD445.4 USD-0.60-34.3622.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.