ADBE NASDAQ Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Adobe Systems Incorporated · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 242.27 USD
1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a -3.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 19/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 242.27 USD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return 1.9% latest completed week
4W Return -3.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • 4 accumulation markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move -3.9%. Indicator stack 4/57 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 19/100 conviction; expected move 2.9%. News sentiment 57/100 134 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a -3.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3412-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

4 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.9% over four weeks, 2.1% over 12 weeks, and -28.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.9%
4W-3.9%
12W2.1%
26W7.5%
52W-28.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-47.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 31 Aug 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality98/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
89.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
35.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
40.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
51.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
10.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
9.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ADBE shows mixed options pressure with a 19/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.82, expected move of 2.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction19/100
Expected move2.9%
Put/call volume0.82
Pressure14
Speculation41
Volatility46
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 10

0 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 134 relevant articles.

37 positive · 84 neutral · 13 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move2.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-18.9%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape27/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis49/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options27/100

No clear directional balance. Options do not give a clear directional confirmation of the stock trend.

2026-10-14 · Use with limits · Priced move ±2.9% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 134 relevant articles.

Adobe (ADBE) Stock Looks Undervalued After Raised Outlook And AI Expansion Insiders0 / 10

0 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

 Research flow4 items

1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 2026242.27 USD1.9%242.84 USD408.48 USD0.58-23.0222.2MOff
2 Oct 2026237.69 USD0.9%243.07 USD410.45 USD0.76-25.1721.7MOn
25 Sep 2026235.47 USD-5.4%244.60 USD412.30 USD0.89-26.2323.2MOn
18 Sep 2026248.92 USD-1.3%245.50 USD414.06 USD1.07-20.4830.4MOn
11 Sep 2026252.23 USD-5.4%245.82 USD415.75 USD1.11-19.6330.8MOn
4 Sep 2026266.51 USD-8.6%246.21 USD417.53 USD1.18-16.4523.7MOff
28 Aug 2026291.52 USD5.9%246.28 USD419.41 USD1.26-9.2220.6MOff
21 Aug 2026275.30 USD4.3%246.33 USD421.15 USD1.26-14.7221.2MOff
14 Aug 2026264.02 USD-0.4%247.19 USD422.75 USD0.98-21.1021.0MOff
7 Aug 2026265.21 USD5.9%248.26 USD424.32 USD0.87-20.7222.2MOff
31 Jul 2026250.41 USD11.2%250.56 USD425.88 USD0.57-22.0736.0MOff
24 Jul 2026225.11 USD-5.1%253.32 USD427.65 USD0.25-30.3223.6MOff
17 Jul 2026237.25 USD6.1%257.61 USD429.60 USD0.17-28.6928.3MOff
10 Jul 2026223.64 USD1.8%261.56 USD431.41 USD-0.03-36.3825.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context