DDS NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Dillard's, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 588.3 USD
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 7.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 588.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 7.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.59% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.6%. Indicator stack 33/31 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.59% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 56.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 7.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1612-week average 0.15

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.6% over four weeks, 4.5% over 12 weeks, and 31.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W7.6%
12W4.5%
26W-3.1%
52W31.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-208.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change42.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength93/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
37.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
46.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
13.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
19.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

1 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.0%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape41/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.59%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.59% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors83/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 26 SVQF88/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 123.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) Stock Forecasts Insiders17 / 3

17 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026588.3 USD3.6%593.0 USD436.9 USD-0.14-8.16734.8KOff
24 Jul 2026568.0 USD3.1%594.6 USD434.9 USD-0.35-10.24560.6KOff
17 Jul 2026550.9 USD5.3%596.7 USD433.1 USD-0.27-13.43491.2KOff
10 Jul 2026523.3 USD-4.3%600.4 USD431.2 USD-0.22-18.99714.4KOff
3 Jul 2026546.7 USD-5.3%605.7 USD429.6 USD-0.04-14.16539.1KOff
26 Jun 2026577.1 USD4.2%609.7 USD427.9 USD0.07-7.37600.5KOff
19 Jun 2026554.1 USD-9.0%611.8 USD426.0 USD-0.07-12.91466.5KOff
12 Jun 2026609.1 USD0.5%612.9 USD424.2 USD-0.23-3.18492.1KOff
5 Jun 2026605.9 USD2.7%612.8 USD422.1 USD-0.56-2.76575.6KOff
29 May 2026589.9 USD5.1%612.0 USD420.1 USD-0.88-7.34705.8KOff
22 May 2026561.5 USD4.3%611.4 USD418.0 USD-1.11-10.26571.3KOff
15 May 2026538.4 USD-4.4%612.1 USD416.0 USD-1.16-13.05832.0KOff
8 May 2026562.9 USD-0.4%613.1 USD414.1 USD-1.23-8.80462.5KOff
1 May 2026565.2 USD-5.0%612.8 USD412.0 USD-1.26-5.96384.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.