NRCA JKT Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PT Nusa Raya Cipta Tbk · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Latest close 496.0 IDR
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 17.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 496.0 IDR 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return 17.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a 17.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.0% over four weeks, -11.8% over 12 weeks, and -51.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W17.0%
12W-11.8%
26W-58.3%
52W-51.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change218.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change23.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-77.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-31.9%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol7.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.4% / -10.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026496.0 IDR-0.8%660.3 IDR498.0 IDR0.18-25.9630.9MOff
17 Jul 2026500.0 IDR10.1%697.2 IDR496.7 IDR0.10-25.8357.8MOff
10 Jul 2026454.0 IDR6.6%739.9 IDR495.4 IDR-0.06-30.1821.3MOff
3 Jul 2026426.0 IDR0.5%790.3 IDR494.2 IDR-0.12-33.617.7MOff
26 Jun 2026424.0 IDR-8.6%835.7 IDR493.3 IDR-0.15-33.8412.9MOff
19 Jun 2026464.0 IDR12.1%881.3 IDR492.3 IDR-0.20-30.563.1MOff
12 Jun 2026414.0 IDR1.0%902.8 IDR491.1 IDR-0.27-35.944.1MOff
5 Jun 2026410.0 IDR-8.5%921.8 IDR490.1 IDR-0.28-31.586.5MOff
29 May 2026448.3 IDR2.9%936.2 IDR489.2 IDR-0.30-31.3417.5MOff
22 May 2026435.5 IDR-14.2%946.4 IDR487.9 IDR-0.40-33.3351.6MOff
15 May 2026507.8 IDR-2.6%957.2 IDR486.8 IDR-0.43-28.4119.0MOff
8 May 2026521.5 IDR-7.3%965.5 IDR485.0 IDR-0.46-28.6733.2MOff
1 May 2026562.7 IDR0.0%978.2 IDR483.2 IDR-0.69-22.5034.3MOff
24 Apr 2026562.7 IDR-12.8%989.5 IDR481.0 IDR-0.85-23.89151.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.