MEX Equity Snapshot

ULTA Weekly Equity Report

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 8,031 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return -7.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait. The company offers branded and private label beauty products, including cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products, professional hair products, and salon styling tools through its Ulta Beauty stores, shop-in-shops, Ulta.com website, and its mobile applications. It also provides wellness products. The company was formerly known as ULTA Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. and changed its name to Ulta Beauty, Inc. in January 2017. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ULTA closed the latest completed week at 8,031 MXN. The 4-week return is -7.0% and the 12-week return is -12.8%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.76. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 34/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -21.0%
Volume 3.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 40 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 22 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 37 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 100 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 4 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
10,165 MXN
Vs Trend Line
-21.0%
Fair Value
8,388 MXN
Vs Fair Value
-4.3%
52W High
11,900 MXN
52W Low
8,018 MXN
Drawdown
-32.5%
Range Position
0.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.2%
4W -7.0%
12W -12.8%
26W -22.8%
52W -9.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
38
52W Active Breadth
73.1%
Sector Scope
MX Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
42 of 97
Sector Percentile
57.3%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.76
4W MD Change
9.9%
Relative Strength
-23.76
4W RS Change
-24.3%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
31.96%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
701
13W Average
228
52W Average
97
Vs 13W
3.1x
Vs 52W
7.2x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.0%
52W Volatility
4.3%
Upside Weeks
17
Downside Weeks
13
Downside Breadth
25.0%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.4% / -4.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
392.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 8,031 MXN 0.2% 10,165 MXN 8,388 MXN -0.76 -23.76 701 Off
5 Jun 2026 8,018 MXN -9.9% 10,219 MXN 8,384 MXN -0.84 -22.15 685 Off
29 May 2026 8,894 MXN 0.0% 10,273 MXN 8,379 MXN -0.81 -17.05 0 Off
22 May 2026 8,894 MXN 3.0% 10,298 MXN 8,368 MXN -0.77 -17.04 821 Off
15 May 2026 8,633 MXN -4.4% 10,320 MXN 8,372 MXN -0.85 -19.12 30 Off
8 May 2026 9,029 MXN -8.1% 10,367 MXN 8,378 MXN -0.84 -17.73 687 Off
1 May 2026 9,824 MXN 0.0% 10,415 MXN 8,381 MXN -0.98 -7.92 0 Off
24 Apr 2026 9,824 MXN 4.7% 10,430 MXN 8,379 MXN -1.04 -9.69 10 Off
17 Apr 2026 9,382 MXN 0.0% 10,423 MXN 8,377 MXN -1.11 -14.38 0 Off
10 Apr 2026 9,382 MXN 0.0% 10,432 MXN 8,378 MXN -1.08 -14.65 0 Off
3 Apr 2026 9,382 MXN 0.0% 10,448 MXN 8,378 MXN -0.79 -14.33 0 Off
27 Mar 2026 9,382 MXN 1.9% 10,464 MXN 8,379 MXN -0.33 -10.56 7 Off
20 Mar 2026 9,208 MXN -18.0% 10,480 MXN 8,380 MXN 0.16 -8.71 25 On
13 Mar 2026 11,228 MXN -4.2% 10,495 MXN 8,382 MXN 0.59 8.90 10 On