EBAY NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

eBay Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

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Latest close 114.0 USD
4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -0.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 45/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 114.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.2% latest completed week
4W Return -0.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 16 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.7%. Indicator stack 81/44 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.72% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 47/100 conviction; expected move 8.0%. News sentiment 45/100 15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.2%, after a -0.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1616 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 16 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.7% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and 25.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.2%
4W-0.7%
12W6.2%
26W25.8%
52W25.9%
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-86.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 92%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value13/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
25.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
0.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-14.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

EBAY shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.51, expected move of 8.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move8.0%
Put/call volume0.51
Pressure34
Speculation41
Volatility81
Trend agreement61
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

3 positive · 6 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+4.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape66/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.89; 16 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.72%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.72% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 13 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

EBAY shows volatility options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.51, expected move of 8.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.0% Sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

Etsy Completes $1.4 Billion Sale of Depop to eBay Insiders9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026114.0 USD4.2%100.5 USD68.76 USD0.079.9817.5MOn
24 Jul 2026109.4 USD-2.4%99.63 USD68.29 USD0.286.1219.6MOn
17 Jul 2026112.1 USD-4.4%98.81 USD67.86 USD0.507.2119.9MOn
10 Jul 2026117.2 USD2.1%97.88 USD67.44 USD0.597.7911.0MOn
3 Jul 2026114.8 USD6.5%96.80 USD66.97 USD0.527.869.8MOn
26 Jun 2026107.9 USD-0.3%95.70 USD66.50 USD0.532.5218.1MOn
19 Jun 2026108.2 USD-0.3%94.85 USD66.08 USD0.69-1.5219.1MOn
12 Jun 2026108.6 USD-0.7%93.91 USD65.65 USD0.961.4616.0MOn
5 Jun 2026109.3 USD0.1%93.06 USD65.23 USD1.274.5820.6MOn
29 May 2026109.3 USD-5.3%92.18 USD64.81 USD1.50-0.0922.9MOn
22 May 2026115.4 USD-0.3%91.22 USD64.38 USD1.648.7027.1MOn
15 May 2026115.8 USD7.8%90.58 USD63.91 USD1.5010.6932.1MOn
8 May 2026107.4 USD3.5%89.76 USD63.43 USD1.452.6845.9MOn
1 May 2026103.8 USD6.3%89.10 USD63.01 USD1.184.8341.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.