MGM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

MGM Resorts International · Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

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Latest close 44.57 USD
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -5.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 55 out of 100
Latest Close 44.57 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -5.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 14.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.4%. Indicator stack 79/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 42/100 conviction; expected move 5.6%. News sentiment 58/100 65 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -5.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7812-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, 14.9% over 12 weeks, and 24.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W-5.4%
12W14.9%
26W32.9%
52W24.7%
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-75.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-43.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value21/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework2/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
63.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
24.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-73.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
7.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
17.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MGM shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.85, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction42/100
Expected move5.6%
Put/call volume0.85
Pressure14
Speculation41
Volatility57
Trend agreement82
Open options detail
Insider activity16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

30 positive · 32 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move5.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape58/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.78; 2 reversal markers Factors33/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 8; Small Cap Core rank 64 SVQF2/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 995.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

MGM shows mixed options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.85, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.6% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM) Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at HSBC Insiders16 / 4

16 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202644.57 USD-2.1%39.91 USD38.23 USD0.338.6214.4MOn
24 Jul 202645.54 USD-1.3%39.64 USD38.23 USD0.6212.269.8MOn
17 Jul 202646.13 USD-1.6%39.38 USD38.26 USD0.9513.0812.0MOn
10 Jul 202646.88 USD-0.5%39.09 USD38.29 USD1.1813.2211.8MOn
3 Jul 202647.10 USD-4.2%38.77 USD38.30 USD1.3615.3315.4MOn
26 Jun 202649.19 USD5.0%38.40 USD38.27 USD1.5923.1716.3MOn
19 Jun 202646.84 USD-4.3%37.94 USD38.24 USD1.6814.9417.5MOn
12 Jun 202648.97 USD3.1%37.46 USD38.20 USD1.5921.5116.4MOn
5 Jun 202647.51 USD8.8%36.91 USD38.16 USD1.3019.0750.4MOn
29 May 202643.67 USD13.7%36.42 USD38.12 USD1.117.1126.4MOn
22 May 202638.40 USD3.9%36.03 USD38.10 USD1.07-4.3323.4MOn
15 May 202636.97 USD-4.7%35.85 USD38.11 USD1.16-7.1925.6MOn
8 May 202638.79 USD0.8%35.67 USD38.15 USD1.39-2.6921.0MOn
1 May 202638.50 USD-2.6%35.42 USD38.17 USD1.19-1.3532.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.