- The trend backdrop is active with a 44-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
ARA
MEX
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Latest close
4.90 MXN
2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
65
out of 100
Latest Close
4.90 MXN
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.7%.
Indicator stack
92/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
63/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9312-week average 0.94
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.7% over four weeks, 5.8% over 12 weeks, and 50.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 44 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak44 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-14.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership21.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment63/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
2 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.6%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-4.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks2
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank22 / 97
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth24.7%
Trend24.7%active weekly trend signals
MD51.5%positive activity pressure
RS25.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Residential Construction
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-1.9%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape65/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis65/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.93; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment63/100Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.
Earnings Beat: Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.90 MXN | 2.0% | 4.43 MXN | 3.44 MXN | -0.47 | 21.57 | 465.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.81 MXN | 5.5% | 4.38 MXN | 3.44 MXN | -0.72 | 19.40 | 286.7K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.55 MXN | -2.1% | 4.34 MXN | 3.43 MXN | -0.74 | 13.87 | 338.2K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.65 MXN | 1.3% | 4.30 MXN | 3.42 MXN | -0.48 | 15.67 | 81.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.59 MXN | -3.1% | 4.27 MXN | 3.42 MXN | -0.41 | 14.38 | 71.6K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.74 MXN | -2.3% | 4.23 MXN | 3.41 MXN | -0.28 | 17.66 | 2.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.85 MXN | 3.2% | 4.19 MXN | 3.40 MXN | -0.31 | 20.59 | 297.5K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.70 MXN | -1.5% | 4.13 MXN | 3.39 MXN | -0.39 | 20.80 | 150.5K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.77 MXN | 3.5% | 4.09 MXN | 3.39 MXN | -0.22 | 18.92 | 700.9K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.61 MXN | -1.3% | 4.05 MXN | 3.38 MXN | -0.02 | 15.98 | 87.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.67 MXN | -1.7% | 4.02 MXN | 3.37 MXN | 0.19 | 18.65 | 187.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.75 MXN | 2.6% | 3.98 MXN | 3.36 MXN | 0.30 | 18.01 | 845.8K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.63 MXN | 3.3% | 3.94 MXN | 3.36 MXN | 0.41 | 18.92 | 2.9M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 4.48 MXN | 2.3% | 3.89 MXN | 3.35 MXN | 0.48 | 13.24 | 1.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.