GGRM JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: GGRM weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

PT Gudang Garam Tbk · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

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Latest close 19,000 IDR

8.9% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 20.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 76 out of 100

Latest Close 19,000 IDR 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 8.9% latest completed week

4W Return 20.4% short-term follow-through

12W Return 19.6% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.89% based on similar historical setup states.

What to watch next

Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 8.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 20.4%. Indicator stack 62/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 35.89% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.9%, after a 20.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

8,300 IDR 97.5% 19,275 IDR

Range location97.5%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance22.0%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap24.6%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-1.4%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6612-week average 0.56

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 20.4% over four weeks, 19.6% over 12 weeks, and 114.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.9%

4W20.4%

12W19.6%

26W21.4%

52W114.1%

Active trend streak7 weeks

Active weeks in one year36

Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure1.07Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change1095.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership57.86Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change18.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

1 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-1.4%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.

Best week+10.9%Week of 1 May.

Worst week-14.1%Week of 5 Jun.

Latest week+8.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7

Modest gains9

Flat weeks0

Modest losses5

Sharp losses5

Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol9.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew8.0% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorID Consumer Defensive

4-week rank14 / 100

Group average9.8%

Trend breadth12.0%

Trend12.0%active weekly trend signals

MD41.0%positive activity pressure

RS72.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AGAR · JKT205.8%BEEF · JKT92.2%NSSS · JKT78.2%RLCO · JKT65.6%SGRO · JKT45.3%

IndustryID Tobacco

4-week rank1 / 4

Group average11.9%

Trend breadth25.0%

Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals

MD75.0%positive activity pressure

RS75.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GGRM · JKT20.4%HMSP · JKT11.4%WIIM · JKT8.6%ITIC · JKT7.1%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape72/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.66; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.89%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.89% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

Price to sales forward of PT Gudang Garam Tbk – IDX:GGRM Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	19,000 IDR	8.9%	15,570 IDR	15,245 IDR	1.07	57.86	9.3M	On
24 Jul 2026	17,450 IDR	2.6%	15,392 IDR	15,299 IDR	0.88	48.68	7.0M	On
17 Jul 2026	17,000 IDR	3.8%	15,243 IDR	15,354 IDR	0.65	47.74	6.4M	On
10 Jul 2026	16,375 IDR	3.8%	15,116 IDR	15,406 IDR	0.49	50.67	4.2M	On
3 Jul 2026	15,775 IDR	0.3%	15,021 IDR	15,462 IDR	0.09	48.64	4.4M	On
26 Jun 2026	15,722 IDR	-0.5%	14,989 IDR	15,527 IDR	-0.34	49.87	1.1M	On
19 Jun 2026	15,794 IDR	10.8%	14,962 IDR	15,587 IDR	-0.40	45.94	3.2M	On
12 Jun 2026	14,250 IDR	2.7%	14,948 IDR	15,644 IDR	-0.58	37.37	690.4K	Off
5 Jun 2026	13,870 IDR	-14.1%	14,993 IDR	15,710 IDR	-0.38	45.34	1.5M	On
29 May 2026	16,150 IDR	7.6%	15,092 IDR	15,781 IDR	-0.08	56.62	3.7M	On
22 May 2026	15,010 IDR	-8.3%	15,130 IDR	15,839 IDR	-0.19	46.96	7.5M	Off
15 May 2026	16,364 IDR	3.0%	15,038 IDR	15,904 IDR	-0.47	48.70	3.6M	Off
8 May 2026	15,889 IDR	4.5%	14,877 IDR	15,965 IDR	-0.79	41.15	6.7M	Off
1 May 2026	15,200 IDR	10.9%	14,734 IDR	16,028 IDR	-1.05	36.82	8.5M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.