PACK NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ranpak Holdings Corp · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

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Latest close 6.47 USD
-5.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.0%, after a -11.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 6.47 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.0% latest completed week
4W Return -11.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.00% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.5%. Indicator stack 59/54 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 35.00% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 37/100 conviction; expected move 38.6%. News sentiment 54/100 47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.0%, after a -11.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.50

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.5% over four weeks, 15.3% over 12 weeks, and 67.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.0%
4W-11.5%
12W15.3%
26W18.7%
52W67.6%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-57.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.63Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-60.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality9/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Momentum92/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
8.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

PACK shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 38.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction37/100
Expected move38.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure10
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement87
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 0

10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

11 positive · 34 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move38.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+33.3%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-24.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-5.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -6.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape50/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.00%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.00% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 66; Small Cap Core rank 72 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

PACK shows mixed options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 38.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 38.6% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

Ranpak Holdings Corp (PACK) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and ... Insiders10 / 0

10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20266.47 USD-5.0%5.54 USD5.55 USD0.4613.632.9MOn
17 Jul 20266.81 USD-0.4%5.52 USD5.55 USD0.7219.691.7MOn
10 Jul 20266.84 USD4.4%5.48 USD5.54 USD0.9019.401.8MOn
3 Jul 20266.55 USD-10.4%5.43 USD5.53 USD1.0116.802.2MOn
26 Jun 20267.31 USD-0.4%5.39 USD5.51 USD1.0734.124.0MOn
19 Jun 20267.34 USD0.5%5.31 USD5.49 USD0.9932.892.8MOn
12 Jun 20267.30 USD7.5%5.21 USD5.47 USD0.8934.761.8MOn
5 Jun 20266.79 USD-1.6%5.13 USD5.45 USD0.7927.382.1MOn
29 May 20266.90 USD9.9%5.07 USD5.44 USD0.9027.252.6MOff
22 May 20266.28 USD9.2%5.02 USD5.42 USD0.8518.582.6MOff
15 May 20265.75 USD-11.7%4.99 USD5.40 USD0.5010.273.1MOff
8 May 20266.51 USD16.0%4.97 USD5.38 USD0.1025.625.5MOff
1 May 20265.61 USD33.3%4.92 USD5.36 USD-0.5211.646.1MOff
24 Apr 20264.21 USD2.2%4.93 USD5.34 USD-1.08-15.462.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.