LWAY NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Lifeway Foods Inc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

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Latest close 30.44 USD
-4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a 3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 30.44 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.7% latest completed week
4W Return 3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 10-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.6%. Indicator stack 59/85 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 13.7%. News sentiment 53/100 68 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a 3.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.6% over four weeks, 12.3% over 12 weeks, and 15.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 10 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.7%
4W3.6%
12W12.3%
26W38.4%
52W15.0%
Active trend streak10 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change83.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change251.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value17/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality65/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
31.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
28.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
9.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
16.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
21.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
47.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
191.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

LWAY shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 13.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction34/100
Expected move13.7%
Put/call volume
Pressure7
Speculation0
Volatility81
Trend agreement88
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.

17 positive · 43 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-4.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape62/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.73; 2 reversal markers Factors32/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 58; Small Cap Core rank 92 SVQF42/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 424.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

LWAY shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 13.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 13.7% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.

Lifeway Foods Inc (LWAY) Shareholder Structure: Major Shareholders & Institutional Holdings Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202630.44 USD-4.7%24.36 USD20.64 USD1.5510.41770.5KOn
17 Jul 202631.95 USD0.8%24.14 USD20.48 USD1.6913.91706.1KOn
10 Jul 202631.70 USD2.5%23.86 USD20.31 USD1.458.381.6MOn
3 Jul 202630.94 USD5.3%23.57 USD20.15 USD1.157.611.0MOn
26 Jun 202629.39 USD15.6%23.34 USD19.99 USD0.842.971.6MOn
19 Jun 202625.43 USD1.4%23.19 USD19.85 USD0.54-15.06444.6KOn
12 Jun 202625.07 USD6.2%23.09 USD19.73 USD0.69-14.53684.5KOn
5 Jun 202623.60 USD-1.0%23.00 USD19.61 USD0.82-18.18642.4KOn
29 May 202623.83 USD-5.3%23.02 USD19.50 USD0.89-21.61350.0KOn
22 May 202625.17 USD4.0%23.03 USD19.39 USD1.10-15.25979.3KOn
15 May 202624.21 USD-5.4%23.07 USD19.27 USD1.23-17.841.8MOff
8 May 202625.60 USD-5.5%23.17 USD19.15 USD1.29-13.76174.7KOff
1 May 202627.10 USD-2.0%23.18 USD19.03 USD1.34-4.29245.1KOff
24 Apr 202627.66 USD7.8%23.13 USD18.89 USD1.13-1.17382.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.