VLO MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: VLO weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Valero Energy Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

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Latest close 5,430 MXN

1.6% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 33.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 21.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 68 out of 100

Latest Close 5,430 MXN 24 Jul 2026

1W Return 1.6% latest completed week

4W Return 21.6% short-term follow-through

12W Return 22.5% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.59% based on similar historical setup states.
3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

What to watch next

Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 21.6%. Indicator stack 97/82 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 36.59% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 59/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 33.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 21.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

2,446 MXN 100.0% 5,430 MXN

Range location100.0%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance33.4%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap87.3%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap0.0%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 21.6% over four weeks, 22.5% over 12 weeks, and 100.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%

4W21.6%

12W22.5%

26W65.8%

52W100.1%

Active trend streak48 weeks

Active weeks in one year49

Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.64Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change255.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership48.39Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change90.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

20 positive · 34 neutral · 3 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher14 of 2610 weeks finished lower.

Best week+16.0%Week of 6 Mar.

Worst week-11.5%Week of 8 May.

Latest week+1.6%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10

Modest gains4

Flat weeks2

Modest losses5

Sharp losses5

Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split24/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew6.5% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorMX Energy

4-week rank2 / 27

Group average9.1%

Trend breadth48.1%

Trend48.1%active weekly trend signals

MD14.8%positive activity pressure

RS88.9%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PBF · MEX49.6%VLO · MEX21.6%VG · MEX19.8%PBRN · MEX15.1%XOM · MEX14.8%

IndustryMX Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

4-week rank2 / 3

Group average25.1%

Trend breadth100.0%

Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals

MD100.0%positive activity pressure

RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PBF · MEX49.6%VLO · MEX21.6%MPC · MEX4.1%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape68/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis72/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.83; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.59%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Shrugs Off Profit Surge As Peak Cycle Doubts Linger Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	5,430 MXN	1.6%	4,072 MXN	2,899 MXN	0.64	48.39	119	On
17 Jul 2026	5,343 MXN	14.2%	3,995 MXN	2,878 MXN	0.19	47.22	1.2K	On
10 Jul 2026	4,677 MXN	0.0%	3,922 MXN	2,857 MXN	-0.30	30.60	0	On
3 Jul 2026	4,677 MXN	4.8%	3,871 MXN	2,839 MXN	-0.43	30.43	208	On
26 Jun 2026	4,464 MXN	9.2%	3,819 MXN	2,822 MXN	-0.41	25.36	141	On
19 Jun 2026	4,089 MXN	-8.5%	3,778 MXN	2,806 MXN	-0.32	14.95	0	On
12 Jun 2026	4,467 MXN	-2.0%	3,751 MXN	2,792 MXN	-0.14	25.85	0	On
5 Jun 2026	4,557 MXN	7.1%	3,711 MXN	2,776 MXN	-0.03	32.99	0	On
29 May 2026	4,254 MXN	-0.3%	3,668 MXN	2,760 MXN	0.04	20.90	3.4K	On
22 May 2026	4,267 MXN	-1.3%	3,625 MXN	2,744 MXN	0.22	22.59	166	On
15 May 2026	4,324 MXN	10.3%	3,582 MXN	2,730 MXN	0.41	25.82	1.8K	On
8 May 2026	3,922 MXN	-11.5%	3,537 MXN	2,715 MXN	0.53	11.82	7.5K	On
1 May 2026	4,432 MXN	10.4%	3,509 MXN	2,702 MXN	0.66	30.79	311	On
24 Apr 2026	4,014 MXN	3.1%	3,464 MXN	2,686 MXN	0.77	17.23	6.0K	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.