- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.96% based on similar historical setup states.
AZO
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
AutoZone Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Latest close
3,016 USD
2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 52d.
Setup score
24
out of 100
Latest Close
3,016 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
23.1%
12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.5%.
Indicator stack
13/21
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
35/100 conviction; expected move 6.3%.
News sentiment
52/100
51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
52d
Next report is scheduled for 22 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -4.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.5% over four weeks, -13.7% over 12 weeks, and -21.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-130.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-7.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 May 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength26/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 19.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 52.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 19.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 23.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 30.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
AZO shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.65, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction35/100
Expected move6.3%
Put/call volume0.65
Insider activity12 / 2
12 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
10 positive · 34 neutral · 7 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings52dNext report is scheduled for 22 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-13.8%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank72 / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Auto Parts
4-week rank32 / 56
Group average-7.9%
Trend breadth33.9%
Trend33.9%active weekly trend signals
MD39.3%positive activity pressure
RS23.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.96%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 18 SVQF63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 377.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options51/100AZO shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.65, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.3% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.
AZO5837989 Bond Profile — Key Metrics Insiders12 / 212 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings52dNext report is scheduled for 22 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3,016 USD | 2.0% | 3,387 USD | 3,265 USD | -1.02 | -23.56 | 711.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,957 USD | -2.9% | 3,396 USD | 3,261 USD | -0.87 | -24.84 | 688.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3,046 USD | -0.9% | 3,413 USD | 3,258 USD | -0.61 | -23.60 | 892.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3,073 USD | -2.7% | 3,424 USD | 3,254 USD | -0.49 | -24.65 | 1.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3,159 USD | 1.0% | 3,437 USD | 3,251 USD | -0.44 | -22.00 | 2.0M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3,129 USD | 2.1% | 3,459 USD | 3,247 USD | -0.48 | -21.60 | 4.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3,064 USD | -1.7% | 3,486 USD | 3,243 USD | -0.61 | -25.46 | 2.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3,116 USD | -0.0% | 3,514 USD | 3,238 USD | -0.57 | -24.06 | 1.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3,116 USD | 6.2% | 3,539 USD | 3,234 USD | -0.51 | -24.14 | 1.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2,935 USD | -13.8% | 3,559 USD | 3,230 USD | -0.39 | -30.83 | 1.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3,406 USD | 2.6% | 3,584 USD | 3,226 USD | -0.15 | -19.26 | 1.7M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3,321 USD | -5.0% | 3,597 USD | 3,220 USD | 0.08 | -21.16 | 1.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 3,496 USD | -2.7% | 3,621 USD | 3,216 USD | 0.36 | -17.37 | 1.1M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 3,594 USD | 0.5% | 3,640 USD | 3,211 USD | 0.37 | -13.59 | 1.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.