MNSO NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Miniso Group Holding Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

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Latest close 13.00 USD
6.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a 10.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 61/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 18d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 13.00 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.5% latest completed week
4W Return 10.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.9%. Indicator stack 14/51 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 61/100 conviction; expected move 10.2%. News sentiment 52/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 18d Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a 10.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.01

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.9% over four weeks, -11.1% over 12 weeks, and -27.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.5%
4W10.9%
12W-11.1%
26W-27.9%
52W-27.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change79.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-33.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change20.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
1.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
2.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
36.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
44.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
27.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-17.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

MNSO shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 13.00, expected move of 10.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction61/100
Expected move10.2%
Put/call volume13.00
Pressure-90
Speculation6
Volatility94
Trend agreement47
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

16 positive · 37 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings18dNext report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+6.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape24/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 2 SVQF94/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 59.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

MNSO shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 13.00, expected move of 10.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.2% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) Risk Assessment: Volatility, Financial Risk & Investment Risk Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings18d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202613.00 USD6.5%15.23 USD18.59 USD-0.32-33.172.8MOff
24 Jul 202612.21 USD-4.2%15.43 USD18.63 USD-0.82-37.093.8MOff
17 Jul 202612.75 USD8.1%15.66 USD18.67 USD-1.16-35.304.5MOff
10 Jul 202611.79 USD0.6%15.87 USD18.70 USD-1.55-41.542.7MOff
3 Jul 202611.72 USD2.7%16.12 USD18.73 USD-1.56-41.602.4MOff
26 Jun 202611.41 USD-4.4%16.35 USD18.75 USD-1.58-42.434.1MOff
19 Jun 202611.94 USD-9.3%16.62 USD18.78 USD-1.59-41.713.0MOff
12 Jun 202613.16 USD1.6%16.86 USD18.79 USD-1.62-35.703.3MOff
5 Jun 202612.95 USD-0.2%17.12 USD18.81 USD-1.69-36.863.2MOff
29 May 202612.97 USD-4.1%17.36 USD18.82 USD-1.70-38.844.3MOff
22 May 202613.53 USD-4.4%17.62 USD18.84 USD-1.82-35.762.2MOff
15 May 202614.15 USD-3.3%17.89 USD18.84 USD-1.79-32.812.6MOff
8 May 202614.63 USD-1.5%18.13 USD18.84 USD-1.73-31.051.5MOff
1 May 202614.86 USD-1.5%18.34 USD18.84 USD-1.70-28.991.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.