BGS NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

B&G Foods Inc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

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Latest close 3.53 USD
0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 3.53 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.6% latest completed week
4W Return -13.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -32.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -13.5%. Indicator stack 28/31 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 29/100 conviction; expected move 19.1%. News sentiment 50/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 7d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -21.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 9.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.46

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -13.5% over four weeks, -32.4% over 12 weeks, and -3.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.6%
4W-13.5%
12W-32.4%
26W-16.0%
52W-3.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-6.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-24.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-75.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 86%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength29/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality9/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework7/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-45.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
18.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
18.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
15.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

BGS shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.95, expected move of 19.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction29/100
Expected move19.1%
Put/call volume0.95
Pressure-1
Speculation9
Volatility96
Trend agreement67
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 0

10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

8 positive · 45 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-22.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors29/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 62; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF7/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 942.5 of 1014 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options49/100

BGS shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.95, expected move of 19.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 19.1% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

BGS|B&G Foods Inc|Price:3.525|Chg%:-0.085 Insiders10 / 0

10 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings7d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.53 USD0.6%4.50 USD5.72 USD-1.04-24.9611.0MOff
24 Jul 20263.51 USD-5.4%4.52 USD5.76 USD-1.03-24.8410.6MOff
17 Jul 20263.71 USD-5.6%4.54 USD5.80 USD-0.89-21.4010.8MOff
10 Jul 20263.93 USD-3.7%4.56 USD5.84 USD-0.96-18.238.4MOff
3 Jul 20264.08 USD0.9%4.58 USD5.88 USD-0.98-14.245.7MOff
26 Jun 20264.04 USD6.4%4.58 USD5.92 USD-1.00-13.4212.1MOff
19 Jun 20263.80 USD-3.5%4.59 USD5.95 USD-1.20-20.717.7MOff
12 Jun 20263.94 USD3.3%4.59 USD5.99 USD-1.17-17.3811.1MOff
5 Jun 20263.81 USD-4.6%4.60 USD6.03 USD-1.12-19.8112.0MOff
29 May 20263.99 USD-1.9%4.62 USD6.07 USD-0.77-18.267.5MOff
22 May 20264.07 USD0.0%4.61 USD6.11 USD-0.21-15.6611.5MOff
15 May 20264.07 USD-22.1%4.61 USD6.14 USD0.30-15.0417.3MOn
8 May 20265.23 USD-3.4%4.62 USD6.17 USD0.838.957.7MOn
1 May 20265.41 USD1.1%4.57 USD6.20 USD1.0715.586.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.