- The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CTVA
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Corteva Inc · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Latest close
89.25 USD
2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 8.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 0d.
Setup score
72
out of 100
Latest Close
89.25 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
10.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
61.5%
32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.0%.
Indicator stack
79/66
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.82%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
47/100 conviction; expected move 6.1%.
News sentiment
60/100
56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
0d
Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 8.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.78
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.0% over four weeks, 10.6% over 12 weeks, and 22.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change145.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change137.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth28/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework21/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 51.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 17.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 6.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 1.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 0.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
CTVA shows bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction47/100
Expected move6.1%
Put/call volume0.01
Insider activity14 / 2
14 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment60/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.
31 positive · 23 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-4.2%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank9 / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD26.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank4 / 12
Group average4.3%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape72/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 72/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.82%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.82% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 25 SVQF21/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 801.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options45/100CTVA shows bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.01, expected move of 6.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.1% Sentiment60/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.
Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Q2 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates Insiders14 / 214 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow1 items1 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 89.25 USD | 2.2% | 78.62 USD | 61.79 USD | 0.22 | 12.15 | 13.8M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 87.30 USD | 1.9% | 77.88 USD | 61.57 USD | 0.06 | 9.16 | 17.6M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 85.68 USD | -0.1% | 77.17 USD | 61.36 USD | -0.16 | 5.50 | 15.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 85.80 USD | 3.8% | 76.51 USD | 61.14 USD | -0.28 | 7.00 | 14.5M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 82.62 USD | 5.1% | 75.84 USD | 60.95 USD | -0.49 | 5.11 | 24.8M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 78.59 USD | 3.2% | 75.32 USD | 60.77 USD | -0.75 | -2.53 | 26.4M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 76.14 USD | -1.2% | 74.87 USD | 60.62 USD | -0.79 | -5.01 | 22.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 77.03 USD | -1.4% | 74.51 USD | 60.49 USD | -0.61 | -3.68 | 15.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 78.10 USD | -1.6% | 74.07 USD | 60.35 USD | -0.21 | -5.04 | 14.5M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 79.38 USD | -3.2% | 73.50 USD | 60.19 USD | 0.09 | -2.38 | 15.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 82.02 USD | 1.3% | 72.96 USD | 60.03 USD | 0.33 | 1.53 | 17.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 80.94 USD | 0.3% | 72.26 USD | 59.85 USD | 0.49 | 0.33 | 24.6M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 80.66 USD | 1.3% | 71.61 USD | 59.69 USD | 0.65 | 2.15 | 15.1M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 79.62 USD | -0.7% | 71.01 USD | 59.53 USD | 0.95 | 1.80 | 13.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.