UAN NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CVR Partners LP · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

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Latest close 129.0 USD
4.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 63 out of 100
Latest Close 129.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.8% latest completed week
4W Return 13.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.8% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.1%. Indicator stack 63/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 51/100 conviction; expected move 10.8%. News sentiment 55/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.8%, after a 13.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4212-week average 0.65

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.1% over four weeks, 5.3% over 12 weeks, and 51.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.8%
4W13.1%
12W5.3%
26W28.8%
52W51.5%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change57.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change450.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework74/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
10.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
25.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
35.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
19.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
61.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
12.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
10.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

UAN shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 10.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction51/100
Expected move10.8%
Put/call volume0.38
Pressure52
Speculation46
Volatility81
Trend agreement43
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

16 positive · 29 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move10.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week+4.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape60/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis57/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 10/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.42; 2 reversal markers Factors89/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63; Small Cap Core rank 17 SVQF74/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 267.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options48/100

UAN shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.38, expected move of 10.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.8% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

CVR Partners: Why The Latest Big Distribution Might Not Be The Last Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026129.0 USD4.8%116.5 USD76.72 USD-0.5413.69166.0KOn
24 Jul 2026123.1 USD3.4%115.5 USD76.30 USD-0.8210.13119.2KOn
17 Jul 2026119.0 USD2.3%114.5 USD75.93 USD-1.036.43115.4KOn
10 Jul 2026116.3 USD2.0%113.6 USD75.58 USD-1.202.86202.2KOff
3 Jul 2026114.0 USD4.1%112.8 USD75.23 USD-1.272.49143.7KOff
26 Jun 2026109.5 USD-1.7%112.1 USD74.88 USD-1.120.88209.5KOn
19 Jun 2026111.4 USD-1.0%111.5 USD74.55 USD-0.880.48199.3KOn
12 Jun 2026112.5 USD-5.1%110.9 USD74.22 USD-0.562.61293.2KOn
5 Jun 2026118.6 USD-2.2%110.4 USD73.88 USD-0.139.14233.8KOn
29 May 2026121.3 USD-3.1%109.5 USD73.51 USD0.159.36204.8KOn
22 May 2026125.2 USD-3.3%108.4 USD73.11 USD0.3315.00223.3KOn
15 May 2026129.5 USD5.7%107.1 USD72.69 USD0.4620.67321.1KOn
8 May 2026122.5 USD-1.4%105.6 USD72.25 USD0.4215.18498.0KOn
1 May 2026124.2 USD-2.4%104.4 USD71.85 USD0.4320.15531.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.