NASDAQ Equity Snapshot

FWRG Weekly Equity Report

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 12.39 USD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 21.7% latest completed week
4W Return 10.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 7.7% 4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent player in the fast-casual dining sector, specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, with a strong emphasis on health-conscious and high-quality culinary offerings. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base through an innovative and adaptable menu that reflects contemporary food trends. With a commitment to exceptional customer service and a unique dining experience, First Watch is strategically expanding its footprint in new markets, positioning itself for sustainable growth and increased shareholder value in a competitive landscape.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

FWRG closed the latest completed week at 12.39 USD. The 4-week return is 10.3% and the 12-week return is 1.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.08. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 29/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -11.5%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 4 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 75 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 55 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 37 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 2 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
14.00 USD
Vs Trend Line
-11.5%
Fair Value
17.58 USD
Vs Fair Value
-29.5%
52W High
19.53 USD
52W Low
9.97 USD
Drawdown
-36.6%
Range Position
25.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 21.7%
4W 10.3%
12W 1.7%
26W -24.3%
52W -17.5%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
4
52W Active Breadth
7.7%
Sector Scope
US Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
25 of 536
Sector Percentile
95.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.08
4W MD Change
80.8%
Relative Strength
-32.34
4W RS Change
19.3%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
51.14%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
6.3M
13W Average
7.1M
52W Average
6.4M
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
1.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
9.6%
52W Volatility
7.9%
Upside Weeks
27
Downside Weeks
25
Downside Breadth
48.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.7% / -6.2%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
NASDAQ
Country
US
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Currency
USD
Market Cap
720.6M

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 12.39 USD 21.7% 14.00 USD 17.58 USD -0.08 -32.34 6.3M Off
5 Jun 2026 10.18 USD -12.5% 14.15 USD 17.61 USD -0.37 -43.62 6.7M Off
29 May 2026 11.63 USD 1.2% 14.39 USD 17.65 USD -0.38 -39.12 5.8M Off
22 May 2026 11.49 USD 2.3% 14.55 USD 17.69 USD -0.41 -38.76 6.2M Off
15 May 2026 11.23 USD -7.2% 14.78 USD 17.73 USD -0.44 -40.08 7.6M Off
8 May 2026 12.10 USD -7.6% 15.00 USD 17.77 USD -0.43 -36.45 9.3M Off
1 May 2026 13.09 USD -1.4% 15.10 USD 17.81 USD -0.63 -28.27 4.8M Off
24 Apr 2026 13.28 USD 4.2% 15.21 USD 17.83 USD -0.82 -27.08 6.6M Off
17 Apr 2026 12.75 USD 11.1% 15.30 USD 17.85 USD -0.99 -29.42 6.8M Off
10 Apr 2026 11.48 USD 6.7% 15.40 USD 17.86 USD -1.14 -33.65 6.8M Off
2 Apr 2026 10.76 USD 4.4% 15.59 USD 17.89 USD -1.18 -35.91 7.9M Off
27 Mar 2026 10.31 USD -15.4% 15.85 USD 17.92 USD -1.16 -37.00 10.7M Off
20 Mar 2026 12.18 USD 5.6% 16.13 USD 17.95 USD -1.13 -28.82 6.0M Off
13 Mar 2026 11.53 USD -10.8% 16.35 USD 17.97 USD -0.99 -34.51 8.6M Off