CAKE NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Cheesecake Factory · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 101.4 USD
19.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 53.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.7%, after a 28.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 76 out of 100
Latest Close 101.4 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 19.7% latest completed week
4W Return 28.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 65.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 12 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 19.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 28.1%. Indicator stack 78/81 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 52/100 conviction; expected move 19.7%. News sentiment 60/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 53.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.7%, after a 28.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9612-week average 0.72

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.96Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1212 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 12 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 28.1% over four weeks, 65.4% over 12 weeks, and 65.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W19.7%
4W28.1%
12W65.4%
26W76.7%
52W65.9%
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-0.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership54.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change208.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality80/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
25.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
62.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
3.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

CAKE shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 19.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move19.7%
Put/call volume0.33
Pressure51
Speculation47
Volatility59
Trend agreement53
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 7

4 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

28 positive · 27 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+19.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape73/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 73/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis69/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.96; 12 reversal markers Factors52/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 79 SVQF17/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 603.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options62/100

CAKE shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.33, expected move of 19.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 19.7% Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC SEC Filing (Jul 30, 2026) Insiders4 / 7

4 acquisitions and 7 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026101.4 USD19.7%66.22 USD47.16 USD1.7254.0912.8MOn
24 Jul 202684.72 USD-1.2%64.59 USD46.72 USD1.6330.398.3MOn
17 Jul 202685.77 USD3.6%63.50 USD46.40 USD1.6730.157.1MOn
10 Jul 202682.76 USD4.5%62.35 USD46.07 USD1.7120.697.0MOn
3 Jul 202679.18 USD-1.5%61.24 USD45.75 USD1.7317.544.9MOn
26 Jun 202680.38 USD4.1%60.15 USD45.45 USD1.4820.226.3MOn
19 Jun 202677.19 USD2.5%59.05 USD45.14 USD1.0710.306.8MOn
12 Jun 202675.28 USD13.8%57.97 USD44.84 USD0.5410.278.4MOn
5 Jun 202666.13 USD0.1%56.94 USD44.56 USD-0.00-0.935.1MOn
29 May 202666.04 USD8.0%56.30 USD44.33 USD-0.14-5.784.1MOn
22 May 202661.14 USD2.8%55.73 USD44.10 USD-0.14-10.524.1MOn
15 May 202659.49 USD-3.0%55.53 USD43.90 USD-0.11-12.175.7MOn
8 May 202661.32 USD2.4%55.32 USD43.73 USD-0.02-10.156.3MOn
1 May 202659.88 USD-2.5%54.99 USD43.52 USD-0.10-7.709.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.