GCTS NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc · Technology · Semiconductors

Latest close 1.95 USD
-7.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -17.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 1.95 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.1% latest completed week
4W Return -17.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 22.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.79% based on similar historical setup states.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 33.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.1%, after a -17.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9012-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.0% over four weeks, 22.6% over 12 weeks, and 26.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.1%
4W-17.0%
12W22.6%
26W96.0%
52W26.6%
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-101.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-65.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 70%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value39/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Quality37/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Momentum39/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
41.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-12.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-22.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-899.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-647.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-32.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
1/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-14.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-14.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

GCTS shows bearish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.05, expected move of 80.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move80.8%
Put/call volume2.05
Pressure-23
Speculation29
Volatility96
Trend agreement67
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.

12 positive · 43 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move80.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-50.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility27.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+85.2%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-26.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-7.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses8
Recent vol27.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol15.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.8% / -8.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261.95 USD-7.1%1.73 USD2.60 USD-0.0215.027.3MOn
17 Jul 20262.10 USD-14.6%1.71 USD2.60 USD0.2023.348.6MOn
10 Jul 20262.46 USD-6.1%1.68 USD2.61 USD0.5542.539.3MOn
3 Jul 20262.62 USD11.5%1.65 USD2.61 USD0.7755.2913.5MOn
26 Jun 20262.35 USD-26.1%1.61 USD2.61 USD1.0043.8214.6MOn
19 Jun 20263.18 USD26.2%1.57 USD2.61 USD1.3591.4419.8MOn
12 Jun 20262.52 USD-7.4%1.51 USD2.60 USD1.5655.5124.3MOn
5 Jun 20262.72 USD-19.3%1.47 USD2.60 USD1.7670.4232.7MOn
29 May 20263.37 USD-0.6%1.43 USD2.60 USD1.87109.4944.9MOn
22 May 20263.39 USD85.2%1.36 USD2.60 USD1.79119.12132.5MOn
15 May 20261.83 USD7.6%1.30 USD2.59 USD1.5922.4243.8MOn
8 May 20261.70 USD6.9%1.29 USD2.60 USD1.3814.2726.6MOff
1 May 20261.59 USD17.8%1.28 USD2.60 USD1.178.9510.1MOff
24 Apr 20261.35 USD3.8%1.28 USD2.61 USD0.98-6.875.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.