ABR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Arbor Realty Trust · Real Estate · Reit - Mortgage

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 5.01 USD
0.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -4.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 64/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 5.01 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.4% latest completed week
4W Return -4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -28.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.9%. Indicator stack 10/36 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 64/100 conviction; expected move 5.0%. News sentiment 52/100 66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -23.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -4.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.11

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.9% over four weeks, -28.4% over 12 weeks, and -49.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.4%
4W-4.9%
12W-28.4%
26W-30.4%
52W-49.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change12.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-41.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth24/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
92.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
70.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
97.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-49.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-14.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
21.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
20.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
12.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

ABR shows bearish options pressure with a 64/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.16, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction64/100
Expected move5.0%
Put/call volume4.16
Pressure-73
Speculation41
Volatility62
Trend agreement68
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 2

13 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

16 positive · 41 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-55.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-19.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis12/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 76; Small Cap Core rank 5 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options38/100

ABR shows bearish options pressure with a 64/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 4.16, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.0% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Stock Looks Below Fair Value While Earnings Look Rich Insiders13 / 2

13 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.01 USD0.4%6.56 USD9.57 USD-0.86-41.7424.9MOff
24 Jul 20264.99 USD-3.7%6.64 USD9.61 USD-0.87-42.2414.9MOff
17 Jul 20265.18 USD2.6%6.72 USD9.65 USD-0.82-41.3716.2MOff
10 Jul 20265.05 USD-4.2%6.80 USD9.69 USD-0.90-44.5319.8MOff
3 Jul 20265.27 USD-2.4%6.91 USD9.73 USD-0.98-42.1822.0MOff
26 Jun 20265.40 USD3.8%7.01 USD9.76 USD-1.05-40.2717.3MOff
19 Jun 20265.20 USD-0.2%7.11 USD9.79 USD-1.03-44.5317.0MOff
12 Jun 20265.21 USD-0.8%7.20 USD9.82 USD-0.90-44.6017.0MOff
5 Jun 20265.25 USD-8.7%7.30 USD9.85 USD-0.67-44.5723.8MOff
29 May 20265.75 USD3.2%7.40 USD9.88 USD-0.27-41.5220.2MOff
22 May 20265.57 USD-0.9%7.51 USD9.90 USD0.14-43.1127.5MOff
15 May 20265.62 USD-19.7%7.68 USD9.92 USD0.44-42.7141.8MOff
8 May 20267.00 USD-9.1%7.85 USD9.94 USD0.66-29.3529.0MOff
1 May 20267.70 USD-0.5%7.96 USD9.95 USD0.54-21.1912.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.