VNCE NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

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Latest close 6.33 USD
6.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 53.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 38d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 6.33 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.7% latest completed week
4W Return -6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 36.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 69.2% 36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.47% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%. Indicator stack 83/57 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.47% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 59/100 61 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 38d Next report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 53.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a -6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9312-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, 36.4% over 12 weeks, and 316.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.7%
4W-6.1%
12W36.4%
26W134.4%
52W316.4%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-50.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership67.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-23.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
49.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-4.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-15.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.

23 positive · 37 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings38dNext report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+47.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+6.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol14.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew15.7% / -7.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape53/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis86/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.93; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.47%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.47% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 2; Buyback Yield rank 61; Small Cap Core rank 28 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 61 relevant articles.

Vince (NASDAQ:VNCE) Trading Up 3.6% - Still a Buy? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings38d

Next report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266.33 USD6.7%4.12 USD2.61 USD0.6067.78337.9KOn
24 Jul 20265.93 USD-7.8%4.05 USD2.59 USD0.8061.83406.3KOn
17 Jul 20266.44 USD2.2%4.00 USD2.57 USD1.0676.56485.2KOn
10 Jul 20266.30 USD-6.5%3.92 USD2.55 USD1.2269.67815.6KOn
3 Jul 20266.74 USD-13.1%3.82 USD2.52 USD1.2088.95863.6KOn
26 Jun 20267.76 USD9.3%3.70 USD2.50 USD1.06125.371.4MOn
19 Jun 20267.10 USD47.3%3.52 USD2.47 USD0.86103.683.5MOn
12 Jun 20264.82 USD9.8%3.37 USD2.44 USD0.6746.08925.6KOn
5 Jun 20264.39 USD-0.5%3.29 USD2.43 USD0.6938.39450.5KOn
29 May 20264.41 USD4.8%3.23 USD2.44 USD0.9034.73432.7KOn
22 May 20264.21 USD-1.2%3.18 USD2.44 USD1.1134.20603.9KOn
15 May 20264.26 USD-8.2%3.14 USD2.45 USD1.2739.261.1MOn
8 May 20264.64 USD-5.5%3.10 USD2.46 USD1.2053.031.8MOn
1 May 20264.91 USD2.3%3.04 USD2.47 USD0.5673.291.4MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.