TM NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Toyota Motor Corporation ADR · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 189.0 USD
6.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a 8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 45/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 189.0 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 6.5% latest completed week
4W Return 8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 6.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.2%. Indicator stack 34/45 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 45/100 conviction; expected move 9.7%. News sentiment 54/100 54 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a 8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.2% over four weeks, 0.8% over 12 weeks, and 6.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.5%
4W8.2%
12W0.8%
26W-16.7%
52W6.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength21/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Value37/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Quality36/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-18.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
57.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

TM shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.54, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction45/100
Expected move9.7%
Put/call volume1.54
Pressure-22
Speculation27
Volatility62
Trend agreement91
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

20 positive · 25 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-11.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+6.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Factors31/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

TM shows bearish options pressure with a 45/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.54, expected move of 9.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 9.7% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 54 relevant articles.

Quantinno Capital Management LP Grows Stock Holdings in Toyota Motor Corporation $TM Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026189.0 USD6.5%202.9 USD189.1 USD-0.51-14.162.6MOff
24 Jul 2026177.4 USD-0.1%203.9 USD188.9 USD-0.93-18.721.9MOff
17 Jul 2026177.6 USD0.7%205.2 USD188.8 USD-0.92-19.391.9MOff
10 Jul 2026176.4 USD1.1%206.6 USD188.6 USD-0.97-21.302.8MOff
3 Jul 2026174.6 USD1.8%207.7 USD188.4 USD-1.01-21.271.9MOff
26 Jun 2026171.5 USD-1.4%208.4 USD188.3 USD-0.96-21.222.9MOff
19 Jun 2026173.9 USD-0.6%209.4 USD188.1 USD-1.02-22.232.3MOff
12 Jun 2026174.9 USD-1.2%210.2 USD187.9 USD-1.01-21.343.2MOff
5 Jun 2026177.2 USD-6.7%211.2 USD187.8 USD-0.97-20.213.4MOff
29 May 2026189.9 USD0.5%212.0 USD187.5 USD-0.97-16.952.0MOff
22 May 2026189.1 USD-0.8%212.5 USD187.2 USD-0.97-16.511.9MOff
15 May 2026190.7 USD1.7%213.0 USD186.8 USD-0.87-15.392.8MOff
8 May 2026187.5 USD-0.6%213.2 USD186.4 USD-0.86-16.872.2MOff
1 May 2026188.7 USD-1.9%213.2 USD186.1 USD-0.85-14.791.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.