LKQ NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

LKQ Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Latest close 22.45 USD
-13.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.1%, after a -15.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 45/100.

Setup score 23 out of 100
Latest Close 22.45 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -13.1% latest completed week
4W Return -15.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 11.5% 6 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.1%, after a -15.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1612-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.4% over four weeks, -21.4% over 12 weeks, and -21.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-13.1%
4W-15.4%
12W-21.4%
26W-30.2%
52W-21.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year6
Trend breadth11.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-29.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength62/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 39; rank 1 is best.
Value87/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework66/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
37.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-26.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

LKQ shows bullish options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.14, expected move of 7.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction51/100
Expected move7.1%
Put/call volume0.14
Pressure86
Speculation41
Volatility62
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 6

8 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

3 positive · 11 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.6%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-14.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-13.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202622.45 USD-13.1%28.86 USD36.57 USD-0.83-30.2222.9MOff
24 Jul 202625.82 USD1.7%29.09 USD36.74 USD-0.81-19.9312.6MOff
17 Jul 202625.38 USD0.0%29.23 USD36.90 USD-0.75-23.0914.1MOff
10 Jul 202625.38 USD-4.4%29.36 USD37.07 USD-0.78-27.0911.6MOff
3 Jul 202626.55 USD-1.8%29.52 USD37.24 USD-0.76-23.3310.3MOff
26 Jun 202627.03 USD4.8%29.60 USD37.41 USD-0.87-22.1914.5MOff
19 Jun 202625.80 USD-1.5%29.67 USD37.57 USD-1.02-29.8113.0MOff
12 Jun 202626.20 USD3.9%29.77 USD37.72 USD-0.92-27.7515.6MOff
5 Jun 202625.22 USD-7.0%29.88 USD37.87 USD-0.91-29.7411.0MOff
29 May 202627.12 USD-0.1%30.02 USD38.03 USD-0.69-28.8010.4MOff
22 May 202627.15 USD11.6%30.15 USD38.17 USD-0.58-27.6920.6MOff
15 May 202624.34 USD-14.8%30.24 USD38.31 USD-0.52-35.3020.3MOff
8 May 202628.57 USD1.3%30.40 USD38.47 USD-0.46-25.4918.1MOff
1 May 202628.20 USD-9.8%30.37 USD38.62 USD-0.51-23.4716.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.